🚨 $BTC near 4-week lows: now all eyes are on the Fed
Yesterday we decided to wait for the outcome before drawing conclusions.
We already have it.
The US Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act (a bill aimed at setting clearer rules for the US crypto market).
The vote ended 50–49 in favor, but it needed 60 votes to move forward.
What was the reaction?
$BTC fell toward $75,000 and today continues near four-week lows.
In addition, Bitcoin spot ETFs (funds that provide exposure to BTC from traditional markets) saw around $450 million in net outflows yesterday.
But note:
this does not mean that crypto regulation in the US has ended, nor that the entire drop has a single cause.
Today another event comes in—one that is even more important for the market.
The Federal Reserve decides interest rates.
The market broadly expects a 0.25 percentage point increase, so both the decision and what the Fed communicates about future hikes will probably matter equally.
📌 Our take:
🔴 More rate hikes ahead → greater potential pressure on BTC and altcoins.
🟡 A hike and then a pause → could ease some of the current pressure.
🟢 A strong BTC reaction after the announcement would be a first sign that the market is absorbing these risks.
Status #006: PARTIALLY MET.
External risk increased and Bitcoin finally showed weakness, but we can’t attribute it only to oil.
Now the focus shifts.
The next important signal comes with the Fed.
🔴 ALERT / FOLLOW-UP
📌 #007 | Follow-up #006
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto
Yesterday we decided to wait for the outcome before drawing conclusions.
We already have it.
The US Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act (a bill aimed at setting clearer rules for the US crypto market).
The vote ended 50–49 in favor, but it needed 60 votes to move forward.
What was the reaction?
$BTC fell toward $75,000 and today continues near four-week lows.
In addition, Bitcoin spot ETFs (funds that provide exposure to BTC from traditional markets) saw around $450 million in net outflows yesterday.
But note:
this does not mean that crypto regulation in the US has ended, nor that the entire drop has a single cause.
Today another event comes in—one that is even more important for the market.
The Federal Reserve decides interest rates.
The market broadly expects a 0.25 percentage point increase, so both the decision and what the Fed communicates about future hikes will probably matter equally.
📌 Our take:
🔴 More rate hikes ahead → greater potential pressure on BTC and altcoins.
🟡 A hike and then a pause → could ease some of the current pressure.
🟢 A strong BTC reaction after the announcement would be a first sign that the market is absorbing these risks.
Status #006: PARTIALLY MET.
External risk increased and Bitcoin finally showed weakness, but we can’t attribute it only to oil.
Now the focus shifts.
The next important signal comes with the Fed.
🔴 ALERT / FOLLOW-UP
📌 #007 | Follow-up #006
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto