🟠 Bitcoin reaches the Fed with the heaviest liquidation zone, at -4.5% from the price.

📉 BTC at $76,032 (-1.30% in 24h). Today the Fed decides at 14:00 ET: the market is pricing in between 86% and 92% probability of a 25 bp hike to 3.75%-4.00%, the first since 2023. But the rate is already in the price. What moves the market is the dot plot.

The liquidation map, ordered by distance from the price:

BELOW — longs are liquidated:
🔻 $75,641 · -0.51% · 33% of strength
🔻 $74,912 · -1.47% · 67%
🔻 $72,621 · -4.49% · 100% (the heaviest on the board)
ABOVE — shorts are liquidated:
🔺 $76,423 · +0.51% · 26%
🔺 $77,152 · +1.47% · 51%
🔺 $79,443 · +4.49% · 77%

The takeaway: the zone that matters is at -4.5%, not nearby. If BTC loses $75,641 and then $74,912, the path to $72,621 opens up and forced selling accelerates the drop. The weakest resistance on the map is $76,423 (26%).

Does the dot plot confirm a single hike or open a cycle? I’m listening 👇

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Data: Binance API (spot + futures + L2) as of 16-09-2026 09:55 UTC-4. Estimated zones based on OI and real depth. Not financial advice. DYOR.