#美联储加息是否已成定局
$BTC
1, Personally, this time with the Fed, my feeling is that it’s most likely a first move of 25 basis points. Now the market has already priced in about 90%. If they don’t increase, it could easily confuse the market.
2, But I think what really deserves attention isn’t these 25 basis points, but what Powell says afterwards. If they only hike once and then start to ease, BTC and tech stocks might first drop before they rebound, and gold may not necessarily be bad.
3, However, if they signal that they will keep hiking afterwards, then Bitcoin, gold, and tech stocks will definitely crash, so you need to be careful—risk assets may still face pressure. So for now, I’m not going all-in. I’ll hold some BTC, control the position size in tech stocks, and also keep some gold. If it really gets smashed down, I’ll actually wait to buy in batches.
4, Do you think this is the “last rate hike,” or the start of a new round of hikes?
$BTC
1, Personally, this time with the Fed, my feeling is that it’s most likely a first move of 25 basis points. Now the market has already priced in about 90%. If they don’t increase, it could easily confuse the market.
2, But I think what really deserves attention isn’t these 25 basis points, but what Powell says afterwards. If they only hike once and then start to ease, BTC and tech stocks might first drop before they rebound, and gold may not necessarily be bad.
3, However, if they signal that they will keep hiking afterwards, then Bitcoin, gold, and tech stocks will definitely crash, so you need to be careful—risk assets may still face pressure. So for now, I’m not going all-in. I’ll hold some BTC, control the position size in tech stocks, and also keep some gold. If it really gets smashed down, I’ll actually wait to buy in batches.
4, Do you think this is the “last rate hike,” or the start of a new round of hikes?