$AVAX
The 1-week (1W) chart of AVAX/USDT is retesting the cycle bottom area around the 7.2 USDT level, with tightly compressed volatility after a prolonged decline from the 2024–2025 peak.
Long-term
Major cycle support: The 7.0–8.0 USDT mark is the swing-bottom zone of the late-2023 growth rally and approaches the initial price base area when the asset was listed in 2020–2021. History shows this is a zone with very strong institutional buying demand.
Liquidity fully exhausted: Weekly trading volume has contracted to about 5.85M AVAX. Liquidity dropping to the lows alongside a sequence of narrow-bodied candles indicates that the bears’ selloff pressure has nearly run out, leaving the market in a state of extreme discouragement.
Attractive R:R (Reward/Risk) ratio: Compared with the previous cycle peak (~65 USDT) or the all-time high (ATH) (~155 USDT), the price around 7 USDT is discounted by more than 85–95%, opening up a very wide growth range relative to the relatively narrow stop-loss risk window.
Buy signals to watch
Position accumulation signal (long-term DCA): The 6.5–7.5 USDT price zone is the optimal accumulation area for a 2–3 year cycle. A technical risk-management trigger is activated if a weekly candle closes fully below the 5.5 USDT level.
Trend-reversal confirmation signal: The bulls only truly return decisively when a breakout weekly candle appears and closes firmly above the 10.5–11.5 USDT level, accompanied by a sudden surge in trading volume (at least double the average of the most recent 20 weeks).
Key price levels
Deploy 30–40% of the position at the current price zone (7.0–7.3 USDT). Keep 30% as a fallback if there is a wick sweep back toward 6.0 USDT, and allocate the remainder when the weekly candle officially breaks out above the 10.5 USDT level.
The 1-week (1W) chart of AVAX/USDT is retesting the cycle bottom area around the 7.2 USDT level, with tightly compressed volatility after a prolonged decline from the 2024–2025 peak.
Long-term
Major cycle support: The 7.0–8.0 USDT mark is the swing-bottom zone of the late-2023 growth rally and approaches the initial price base area when the asset was listed in 2020–2021. History shows this is a zone with very strong institutional buying demand.
Liquidity fully exhausted: Weekly trading volume has contracted to about 5.85M AVAX. Liquidity dropping to the lows alongside a sequence of narrow-bodied candles indicates that the bears’ selloff pressure has nearly run out, leaving the market in a state of extreme discouragement.
Attractive R:R (Reward/Risk) ratio: Compared with the previous cycle peak (~65 USDT) or the all-time high (ATH) (~155 USDT), the price around 7 USDT is discounted by more than 85–95%, opening up a very wide growth range relative to the relatively narrow stop-loss risk window.
Buy signals to watch
Position accumulation signal (long-term DCA): The 6.5–7.5 USDT price zone is the optimal accumulation area for a 2–3 year cycle. A technical risk-management trigger is activated if a weekly candle closes fully below the 5.5 USDT level.
Trend-reversal confirmation signal: The bulls only truly return decisively when a breakout weekly candle appears and closes firmly above the 10.5–11.5 USDT level, accompanied by a sudden surge in trading volume (at least double the average of the most recent 20 weeks).
Key price levels
Deploy 30–40% of the position at the current price zone (7.0–7.3 USDT). Keep 30% as a fallback if there is a wick sweep back toward 6.0 USDT, and allocate the remainder when the weekly candle officially breaks out above the 10.5 USDT level.