$牛来 $龙虾 $币安人生 Tonight marks yet another standoff between bulls and bears. After the market has been pricing in a September rate hike for so long, the real question becomes: just how much of this negative news has already been absorbed?

The market is already pricing in a September rate hike at a very high level; the latest pricing even briefly approached 90%. So if there is indeed a 25-basis-point hike, it may not be as simple as “hike equals a drop.” Instead, we need to see what Powell says next. What we’ll be watching tonight isn’t the 25-basis-point hike itself, but the dot plot, the inflation assessment, and Powell’s stance on future rate hikes.

If the market has already digested the bad news in advance, it’s possible to see the negative catalyst “land,” get a quick sell-off first followed by a rebound. But if Powell continues to release even more hawkish signals, then the bears will keep coming.

With this kind of news-driven impact on the market, it’s better to plan carefully and hold onto your spot positions—like Musk’s 🔥🌟 little dog 🐕. On November 1st, Old Ma will celebrate his birthday. Will Starship take him to space before the end of this year?
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