2026.9.16 BTC.ETH.SOL.BNB.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
Brothers, good afternoon. The countdown to the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is on. After trading for so long, we’re finally about to get a result. As of now, the probability of a rate hike hasn’t gone down. Although I’ve always believed they won’t hike, the data is what it is—so we may still need to be prepared. If tonight there really is a 25-basis-point hike, then the big chart will pull back to the 72,000–73,000 area we mentioned earlier. So any additional long positions we have must be kept under control in terms of size. If the rate hike is confirmed, you can only add back if we reach that price. If it’s kept unchanged, then the market will take off—at the very least, the danger is lifted. Just be patient and wait. Once today is over, continue to look for upside from then on.
ETH
Yesterday’s ETH level I gave was 2400–2350. At this moment, our long positions are not in floating loss. The key is controlling position size at the crucial time. If there’s a bearish move with a sharp rejection wick, look for 2230–2160. Keep the long positions doing so on the wick.
SOL
SOL is currently slightly breaking below the 97 support. If your longs are not making money, you can exit first. Wait for the wick in the 93–88 range, then build your long position again. If you don’t exit, just control your position size and add as it drops.
BNB
BNB: Our main long position is currently at breakeven. If the first dip level doesn’t hold and it breaks, the range is 680–670. The absolute last line of defense is 650. The main reminder is to control the size of your long positions.
The supports I listed above are based on the assumption of a bearish rate-hike outcome and that the wick can reach those levels. Brothers, don’t be overly panicked. A wick is basically you boarding the train to pick up new passengers.
XAU
Let’s talk about gold as well. My logic is that 4300–4200 is a solid floor. Last week I told everyone to go long around 4270, and you’re not in a loss. If tonight there’s really a rate hike, then anyone holding longs on gold should exit first. It could dip again to around 4100–4050.
Just be patient, brothers. Time will give us the answer. Don’t bounce around like a monkey all day long—stay calm and quiet.
I know you’re very anxious, but don’t rush yet!
Daily, I bring you the latest market analysis and precise wick points. Going long or short is for your reference only. Make sure you manage your positions. (Caishen exclusive commission discount: 80% — Invite code: BTC45678)
BTC
Brothers, good afternoon. The countdown to the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is on. After trading for so long, we’re finally about to get a result. As of now, the probability of a rate hike hasn’t gone down. Although I’ve always believed they won’t hike, the data is what it is—so we may still need to be prepared. If tonight there really is a 25-basis-point hike, then the big chart will pull back to the 72,000–73,000 area we mentioned earlier. So any additional long positions we have must be kept under control in terms of size. If the rate hike is confirmed, you can only add back if we reach that price. If it’s kept unchanged, then the market will take off—at the very least, the danger is lifted. Just be patient and wait. Once today is over, continue to look for upside from then on.
ETH
Yesterday’s ETH level I gave was 2400–2350. At this moment, our long positions are not in floating loss. The key is controlling position size at the crucial time. If there’s a bearish move with a sharp rejection wick, look for 2230–2160. Keep the long positions doing so on the wick.
SOL
SOL is currently slightly breaking below the 97 support. If your longs are not making money, you can exit first. Wait for the wick in the 93–88 range, then build your long position again. If you don’t exit, just control your position size and add as it drops.
BNB
BNB: Our main long position is currently at breakeven. If the first dip level doesn’t hold and it breaks, the range is 680–670. The absolute last line of defense is 650. The main reminder is to control the size of your long positions.
The supports I listed above are based on the assumption of a bearish rate-hike outcome and that the wick can reach those levels. Brothers, don’t be overly panicked. A wick is basically you boarding the train to pick up new passengers.
XAU
Let’s talk about gold as well. My logic is that 4300–4200 is a solid floor. Last week I told everyone to go long around 4270, and you’re not in a loss. If tonight there’s really a rate hike, then anyone holding longs on gold should exit first. It could dip again to around 4100–4050.
Just be patient, brothers. Time will give us the answer. Don’t bounce around like a monkey all day long—stay calm and quiet.
I know you’re very anxious, but don’t rush yet!
Daily, I bring you the latest market analysis and precise wick points. Going long or short is for your reference only. Make sure you manage your positions. (Caishen exclusive commission discount: 80% — Invite code: BTC45678)
