全球零撸达人

Are you really suited to make a living by trading?
Serial [5]

⑤ Only after you solve the first four questions will you truly stand at the starting line of trading

Pay attention.

What I covered earlier—

income sources, daily routine, time you can trade, trading instruments, your personal character, your trading style…

All of it is just to help you reach: the starting line.

Not the finish line.

Only after you’ve truly reached the starting line do you begin the part everyone is most familiar with:

learning.

And not learning one or two indicators;

not stopping once you know what support and resistance are.

You must first gain broad understanding of:

Scalping—very short-term trading / scalp trading: frequent trades within a very short time (seconds to minutes) to profit from small price fluctuations
Day Trading: opening and closing positions on the same day, without holding overnight
Swing Trading: capturing market swings over several days to a few weeks, aiming to profit from swing trends
Trend Following: trading in line with the market’s main direction—for example, going long in an uptrend and short in a downtrend
Breakout Trading: entering the market when price breaks through a key resistance or support level
Mean Reversion: trading that assumes when price deviates from normal levels, it will return to the average value, seeking opportunities from that
Technical Analysis: analyzing the market through candlesticks, indicators, volume, and price structure
Fundamental Analysis: studying a project’s value—such as the team, economic data, industry development, and more
Macro: macroeconomic analysis studying how the global economic environment (interest rates, inflation, the US dollar, policies, etc.) affects the market
Risk Management: controlling trading risk, including stop-losses, position sizes, and capital protection
Position Sizing: position management—deciding how much capital to risk or allocate to each trade based on your account size and risk
Trading Psychology: managing emotions, discipline, and execution ability to prevent fear and greed from affecting your trading

Then test them one by one.

You must personally know:

what suits you.
what doesn’t suit you.

This is not something others can tell you directly.

If you’re interested in trading, feel free to leave a comment in the comment section or join the chat room to exchange ideas—learn together and grow together!
#美联储加息25基点美股收跌

Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ

$CL

Energy

#美联储加息是否已成定局 9月本次加息已经落地（定局）：美联储9月议息会议加息25bp，联邦基金利率来到3.75%-4.00%，2023年7月之后首次重启加息。
This hike has already taken effect. Now the market is looking at another rate hike by the end of the year—it’s all about expectations. Will $BTC Bitcoin go up or go down?

🚨 BTC ETF saw an inflow of $160 million, yet the next day it saw an outflow of $450 million.

This set of data is more worth watching than just “ETF money is back.”

On September 14, U.S. spot BTC ETFs had a net inflow of about $160 million.

But on September 15, it flipped directly the other way:

Net outflow of about $450 million.

This shows institutional money hasn’t formed a consistent direction right now.

Macro interest rates, regulatory expectations, and the BTC price are all changing rapidly, and Wall Street is constantly adjusting its positions.

So at this stage, what I care about isn’t:

How much ETF money comes in on a given day.

Instead, it’s:

Whether there can be a return of continuous net inflows next.

That $160 million in one day is a signal.

Only a few days of funds returning could truly change the trend.

And if BTC can still hold key levels despite the repeated inflows and outflows of ETF funds—

that’s the more important thing to watch.

👇 What do you think the next round of ETF flows will be:

Return again 🟢 / Continue retreating 🔴？

#BTC #ETH #BNB

Since the banquet can’t be avoided, then raise your cup to socialize and make sure favors are delivered properly—our bottom line won’t retreat. $NVDAB

Spring, summer, autumn, and winter are full of worries over money; I roam everywhere in the four directions—east, south, west, and north. 🔥 I’ve tasted every kind of hardship in the coin world, just to never bow my head in front of people. 🔥 There is no way back in life—once the principal is gone, who can keep it? 🔥 Hoping the market will turn warm again, more take-profits and fewer worries. 🔥

Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?

✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.

✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.

During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.

Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.

🌤️Hike through mountains and wilds, settle within, and gaze far outward⛰️

Climbing is never accomplished overnight, and trading is also a long journey of cultivation📊.
There are steep slopes along the way, and the market can be volatile—so there’s no need to fear temporary detours🕊️.
Steady your breathing, hold fast to your own pace, and refuse to be dragged around by short-term fluctuations✨.
Only by enduring the tests of the journey can you earn the unique vastness of the mountaintop💎.

To those traveling the same path—move forward steadily, and you will find your own scenery🌿

#交易心理

#美联储加息是否已成定局

#1688家族family

$BTC C spot ETF net outflow of $450 million, the largest since June! Tonight's Federal Reserve meeting—most of the rate-hike bearish news has already been released.
So it's likely they'll pump first and then dump. Are you ready???
#美联储加息是否已成定局