#美联储加息是否已成定局

September 16 Spot Gold Midday Analysis

Ahead of the major decision, the market is cautious and trading is range-bound, making it difficult for a single-direction move. Gold prices have broadly tracked the U.S. Dollar Index, oscillating.

In the morning, gold pulled back and stabilized around 4275, then rebounded, surged to 4341 but met resistance and fell back. It is currently trading around 4327, consolidating.

In terms of news, attention centers on the Fed’s rate decision this evening. If there is an unexpected pause in/absence of rate hikes, it would be the biggest dovish surprise since 1994. Even if a rate hike occurs, if there is no strong hawkish/“keep hiking” rhetoric, gold still has upside expectations.

Technically, 15-minute chart levels: 4315 is the top-to-bottom reversal (pivot) point. Currently, price is holding above 4320. During the midday session, key focus is support at 4315—if it breaks, gold may look toward 4300. Resistance is at 4345–4355.

Trading: mainly look for selling from high levels. If the rebound pushes into 4345–4355 and faces pressure, consider shorting, with targets at 4320–4305. If 4315 holds, there may still be an opportunity for a further upside push in the short term. Volatility may increase around the evening decision, so be sure to trade with light position sizing and use stops.

The above is only personal advice for reference and does not constitute an investment basis. Please refer to Cheng Jingsheng’s Shipan layout for the specific plan! $XAU
#美联储加息是否已成定局 #XAUUSD