Tonight’s FOMC: the market has priced in a 25bp rate hike to about 90%. But the real contest isn’t in that one basis point—it’s in the tone of the press conference. With the same set of data, a hawkish vs. dovish wording can pull the outlook in completely opposite directions.
The first half hour is often where volatility is highest. Don’t bet on direction—bet on the reaction: watch the U.S. dollar, yields, and real-time confirmation in gold. Have plans ready for both scenarios.
Discipline always matters more than prediction.
Information整理 does not constitute investment advice.
The first half hour is often where volatility is highest. Don’t bet on direction—bet on the reaction: watch the U.S. dollar, yields, and real-time confirmation in gold. Have plans ready for both scenarios.
Discipline always matters more than prediction.
Information整理 does not constitute investment advice.
