If it goes from 81,000 to 75,000.
Does that count as a crash?
If you can stick to shorting, calling for shorts—can you say one thing: that’s awesome?
But no matter what you do, whether you’re right or wrong,
anyway someone will always call you an idiot.
When it comes to trading, you have to go through a thousand cuts before everyone can reach their own realization.
But old rookies all have a common trait:
damn it, they’re timid as mice—always on edge, as if walking on thin ice.
Most old rookies are silent; they don’t talk much. They honestly do the trading, keep their heads down, and earn big money.
One day, posting “J8,” smacking their lips and saying how awesome they are—either they’ve only got half the knowledge, or they come up with every method to harvest newbies.
Anyway, after all these years,
I’ve never seen some scummy operator move according to retail traders’ expectations.
Not long ago, an old rookie, stubbornly insisting—copying the lesson from the past—said it would fall to 48,000, but it didn’t. It was pulled in the opposite direction to 83,000.
Later, a bunch of people said it’s an ultra-bull market—83,000 would surge to 100,000—yet it turned around and immediately started to retrace.
The big bull-market breakout cycle hasn’t arrived yet.
This time the clarity bill didn’t pass, but next time, when it does pass, the schedule will be for a major bull run and a big upward move.
That timing should be after May 2027.
What comes next is waiting for the pullback.
Right now, the 70,000 whole-number level is crucial, but usually it will dip to 68,000.
If you’re in the spot camp, you still have a chance to position yourself—you won’t miss this bull-market move.
If you look at it from a cycle perspective: if it dips to 70,000, don’t be afraid then. In 2029, if BTC’s target is 300,000, then what you buy now is in the bottom range.
As for futures—different story. The entry price and time must be referenced based on candlestick patterns and volume.
At present, judging from the daily timeframe: the candles form a bearish engulfing, with increased volume. The pullback will continue. The MACD forms a dead cross, implying there’s a need for more pullback. Currently, the 75,000 life line has support; if it breaks down with increased volume, there’s a chance of reaching 70,000. For now, in the short term, observe first. Don’t go in long without “needling” it.
On the 4-hour timeframe: short the rebound at 76,500, add to the position at 77,000, stop-loss at 77,500, target around 70,000.
On the 3-day timeframe: the candlestick structure is bearish, and the MACD momentum for longs is weakening, which calls for a pullback. The overall bigger structure is still bullish, so the retracement can still be used to go long. Currently, support is around 70,000.
They say,
“I’ve never won when I call trades.”
Damn—either way, it’s fine to just post a bit of profit here and there when you feel like it.
As for what kind of person I am—I know better than you do what I’m like.
In the end, it’s just an idiot. $BTC
Does that count as a crash?
If you can stick to shorting, calling for shorts—can you say one thing: that’s awesome?
But no matter what you do, whether you’re right or wrong,
anyway someone will always call you an idiot.
When it comes to trading, you have to go through a thousand cuts before everyone can reach their own realization.
But old rookies all have a common trait:
damn it, they’re timid as mice—always on edge, as if walking on thin ice.
Most old rookies are silent; they don’t talk much. They honestly do the trading, keep their heads down, and earn big money.
One day, posting “J8,” smacking their lips and saying how awesome they are—either they’ve only got half the knowledge, or they come up with every method to harvest newbies.
Anyway, after all these years,
I’ve never seen some scummy operator move according to retail traders’ expectations.
Not long ago, an old rookie, stubbornly insisting—copying the lesson from the past—said it would fall to 48,000, but it didn’t. It was pulled in the opposite direction to 83,000.
Later, a bunch of people said it’s an ultra-bull market—83,000 would surge to 100,000—yet it turned around and immediately started to retrace.
The big bull-market breakout cycle hasn’t arrived yet.
This time the clarity bill didn’t pass, but next time, when it does pass, the schedule will be for a major bull run and a big upward move.
That timing should be after May 2027.
What comes next is waiting for the pullback.
Right now, the 70,000 whole-number level is crucial, but usually it will dip to 68,000.
If you’re in the spot camp, you still have a chance to position yourself—you won’t miss this bull-market move.
If you look at it from a cycle perspective: if it dips to 70,000, don’t be afraid then. In 2029, if BTC’s target is 300,000, then what you buy now is in the bottom range.
As for futures—different story. The entry price and time must be referenced based on candlestick patterns and volume.
At present, judging from the daily timeframe: the candles form a bearish engulfing, with increased volume. The pullback will continue. The MACD forms a dead cross, implying there’s a need for more pullback. Currently, the 75,000 life line has support; if it breaks down with increased volume, there’s a chance of reaching 70,000. For now, in the short term, observe first. Don’t go in long without “needling” it.
On the 4-hour timeframe: short the rebound at 76,500, add to the position at 77,000, stop-loss at 77,500, target around 70,000.
On the 3-day timeframe: the candlestick structure is bearish, and the MACD momentum for longs is weakening, which calls for a pullback. The overall bigger structure is still bullish, so the retracement can still be used to go long. Currently, support is around 70,000.
They say,
“I’ve never won when I call trades.”
Damn—either way, it’s fine to just post a bit of profit here and there when you feel like it.
As for what kind of person I am—I know better than you do what I’m like.
In the end, it’s just an idiot. $BTC
