Jiahao’s Wednesday Thoughts Sharing
Watching the Kongs (Kupen) idea deliver again—Da Bing gave room for a 3,000-point move. Ethereum同步 (in tandem) also provided 100 points of room. Yet we’re still stuck in the mud, struggling. Haven’t I made myself clear enough? The full trading plan and thoughts are made public in advance, and I want to lead every brother who’s still stuck in the mud out of this predicament!
The bill in the early morning did not pass. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has broken through the 5% mark and has refreshed the highest level since 2007. Bessent did not directly respond to responsibility for fiscal and monetary policy; instead, he pointed more of the reason for the rise in Treasury yields to “global factors,” and he specifically emphasized that the continued rise in oil prices is an important variable driving rates higher.
In fact, the rise in oil prices is not an exogenous shock by itself—it is the combined result of U.S. energy policy, geopolitical games, and the shift toward fiscal deficits.
From a technical perspective:
The current trend shows a pattern of the highs gradually moving lower and the lows being tested deeper. The earlier key support level has been declared broken, and a complete bearish trend structure has been established.
Each round of rebound is suppressed by short-term moving averages. In terms of volume, the rebounds show shrinking volume while the declines show expanding volume. This reflects that the market’s long positions have extremely insufficient follow-through/support strength, and buying interest is weak.
The rebound rally has repeatedly failed to effectively hold above the pressure zone. As the breakdown of support is confirmed, downside room will open further. There is still risk that prices will continue to probe lower.
In terms of execution: the rebound-for-short idea remains unchanged.
Da Bing: short around 76,500–77,200; target 74,000. If it breaks through, continue to look for 73,000.
Ethereum: short around 2,420–2,450; target 2,350. If it breaks through, continue to look for 2,280.
#比特币跌至7.6万美元 #Polymarket上CLARITY法案立法几率减半 $NVDAB $AAPLB $BTC
Watching the Kongs (Kupen) idea deliver again—Da Bing gave room for a 3,000-point move. Ethereum同步 (in tandem) also provided 100 points of room. Yet we’re still stuck in the mud, struggling. Haven’t I made myself clear enough? The full trading plan and thoughts are made public in advance, and I want to lead every brother who’s still stuck in the mud out of this predicament!
The bill in the early morning did not pass. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has broken through the 5% mark and has refreshed the highest level since 2007. Bessent did not directly respond to responsibility for fiscal and monetary policy; instead, he pointed more of the reason for the rise in Treasury yields to “global factors,” and he specifically emphasized that the continued rise in oil prices is an important variable driving rates higher.
In fact, the rise in oil prices is not an exogenous shock by itself—it is the combined result of U.S. energy policy, geopolitical games, and the shift toward fiscal deficits.
From a technical perspective:
The current trend shows a pattern of the highs gradually moving lower and the lows being tested deeper. The earlier key support level has been declared broken, and a complete bearish trend structure has been established.
Each round of rebound is suppressed by short-term moving averages. In terms of volume, the rebounds show shrinking volume while the declines show expanding volume. This reflects that the market’s long positions have extremely insufficient follow-through/support strength, and buying interest is weak.
The rebound rally has repeatedly failed to effectively hold above the pressure zone. As the breakdown of support is confirmed, downside room will open further. There is still risk that prices will continue to probe lower.
In terms of execution: the rebound-for-short idea remains unchanged.
Da Bing: short around 76,500–77,200; target 74,000. If it breaks through, continue to look for 73,000.
Ethereum: short around 2,420–2,450; target 2,350. If it breaks through, continue to look for 2,280.
#比特币跌至7.6万美元 #Polymarket上CLARITY法案立法几率减半 $NVDAB $AAPLB $BTC
