🚨Morning Watch: Oil prices surge 4.4% vs. U.S. Treasury yields break 5%—the market is pulled between two extremes
🔥 Three key focuses today
1️⃣ BTC falls below the $75,000 mark
After the U.S. Senate blocked the passage of the CLARITY Act, Bitcoin slid to $75,057, down 5.11% and posting its largest single-day decline since June. Stocks related to Coinbase and Circle fell by about 10%. With regulatory outlook unclear, the outlook is under pressure in the near term.
2️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields break 5%—the highest in 19 years
The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to its highest level since 2007. The day’s 4.4% surge in oil prices is a key driver. Bessent said “global issues” have led to the rise in yields. The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this Thursday will be the next key signal.
3️⃣ OpenAI valuation target: $1.2 trillion
According to FT, OpenAI is discussing a new round of financing with investors, aiming for a valuation of $1.2 trillion as it prepares for an IPO. After the release of GPT-5.6, annualized revenue has already exceeded $40 billion. Sam Altman said the earliest listing could be in 2027.
💡 Morning thoughts
The situation in the Middle East continues to escalate—Saudi Arabia’s east-to-west oil pipeline is set to resume operations within days, while explosions were reported early this morning from Iran’s Qeshm Island. The Trump administration estimates the war’s monthly cost at $2–3 billion. A geopolitical risk premium is being priced in.
⚠️ Not investment advice
📊 Interactive time: That’s the end of Morning Watch
With both oil prices and interest rates under dual pressure, what do you think?
A. Buy the dip on Bitcoin, waiting for regulatory clarity
B. Stay on the sidelines, waiting for the Fed meeting outcome
C. Shift to gold/oil for hedging
$BTC #比特币 #加密货币 #行情分析 #OpenAI
🔥 Three key focuses today
1️⃣ BTC falls below the $75,000 mark
After the U.S. Senate blocked the passage of the CLARITY Act, Bitcoin slid to $75,057, down 5.11% and posting its largest single-day decline since June. Stocks related to Coinbase and Circle fell by about 10%. With regulatory outlook unclear, the outlook is under pressure in the near term.
2️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields break 5%—the highest in 19 years
The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to its highest level since 2007. The day’s 4.4% surge in oil prices is a key driver. Bessent said “global issues” have led to the rise in yields. The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this Thursday will be the next key signal.
3️⃣ OpenAI valuation target: $1.2 trillion
According to FT, OpenAI is discussing a new round of financing with investors, aiming for a valuation of $1.2 trillion as it prepares for an IPO. After the release of GPT-5.6, annualized revenue has already exceeded $40 billion. Sam Altman said the earliest listing could be in 2027.
💡 Morning thoughts
The situation in the Middle East continues to escalate—Saudi Arabia’s east-to-west oil pipeline is set to resume operations within days, while explosions were reported early this morning from Iran’s Qeshm Island. The Trump administration estimates the war’s monthly cost at $2–3 billion. A geopolitical risk premium is being priced in.
⚠️ Not investment advice
📊 Interactive time: That’s the end of Morning Watch
With both oil prices and interest rates under dual pressure, what do you think?
A. Buy the dip on Bitcoin, waiting for regulatory clarity
B. Stay on the sidelines, waiting for the Fed meeting outcome
C. Shift to gold/oil for hedging
$BTC #比特币 #加密货币 #行情分析 #OpenAI