1. CLARITY Act vote result (today) — the immediate sentiment catalyst at 2:30pm ET. 2. FOMC decision + Warsh's guidance (Wednesday) — the macro pivot 3. **$76,000 support** — the line in the sand; a decisive 4H close below opens $71K 4. ETF flows — whether outflows continue or reverse after the events Fear & Greed Index: 69 (Greed), up from 57 previously — sentiment has improved but remains cautious overall.
Bottom line: BTC is in a $76K–$82K range with no obvious marginal buyer before the Fed. The next 72 hours will likely determine direction. A CLARITY Act advance + dovish Fed guidance = upside toward $82K+. A failed vote + hawkish Warsh = test of $76K, with $71K as the technical target if it breaks.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
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