$BTC Since the start of this bear phase, Bitcoin hasn't logged a single weekly gain exceeding 20%. At most, we saw pumps around 7%, 13%, and 14%—nothing close to a 23%+ weekly expansion with a strong bullish close.
Even those bullish spurts mostly occurred within broader consolidation phases. The move toward $83K was a multi-week grind, while the bearish leg that followed erased those gains and broke below previous structure.
That weakness unfolded as the Fed cut rates to 3.50–3.75% but then paused, with repeated holds keeping liquidity conditions restrictive for risk assets like crypto.
Now, the structure is changing. Its now Shifting to bullish side.
For the first time in this cycle, a single weekly candle expanded more than 23% and held its close. Instead of a deep retracement, Bitcoin has spent the following three to four weeks consolidating near the highs. Consolidating into this level confirms highly accumulation.
That makes today's FOMC decision particularly important. After an extended period of holds, the market is watching for signs of renewed easing. Capital positioning around these elevated levels could also suggest that buyers are absorbing supply rather than treating the move as a distribution top.
This high-level consolidation is the key structure to watch. So before move liquidity sweap can be appear.
If the range holds and breaks upward, especially with today's Fed decision acting as a catalyst, technical momentum and the macro backdrop could align providing stronger confirmation that Bitcoin's broader bull trend is back on track.
Even its hold into extreme condition
This is my personal market interpretation.
#BTC Price Analysis #FOMC #Macro
Even those bullish spurts mostly occurred within broader consolidation phases. The move toward $83K was a multi-week grind, while the bearish leg that followed erased those gains and broke below previous structure.
That weakness unfolded as the Fed cut rates to 3.50–3.75% but then paused, with repeated holds keeping liquidity conditions restrictive for risk assets like crypto.
Now, the structure is changing. Its now Shifting to bullish side.
For the first time in this cycle, a single weekly candle expanded more than 23% and held its close. Instead of a deep retracement, Bitcoin has spent the following three to four weeks consolidating near the highs. Consolidating into this level confirms highly accumulation.
That makes today's FOMC decision particularly important. After an extended period of holds, the market is watching for signs of renewed easing. Capital positioning around these elevated levels could also suggest that buyers are absorbing supply rather than treating the move as a distribution top.
This high-level consolidation is the key structure to watch. So before move liquidity sweap can be appear.
If the range holds and breaks upward, especially with today's Fed decision acting as a catalyst, technical momentum and the macro backdrop could align providing stronger confirmation that Bitcoin's broader bull trend is back on track.
Even its hold into extreme condition
This is my personal market interpretation.
#BTC Price Analysis #FOMC #Macro
