“On Polymarket, the odds of the ‘CLARITY Act’ passing are cut in half: Polymarket traders previously estimated that the ‘CLARITY Act’ would become law within this year at around 30% to 34%. However, after Democrats proposed an alternative before the vote and expressed concerns about the ethical provisions amended in the draft by Republicans, that probability quickly dropped to about 17% to 18%—roughly halving.
In plain terms, the market suddenly believes the bill is harder to pass. However, the core of the controversy isn’t the crypto-market regulatory framework itself; it’s the ethical rules regarding whether government officials hold crypto assets. The vote is a procedural one: even if it passes, it only allows the bill to move into the formal Senate debate—there are still several steps before it can truly become law. $BTC
$ETH
#Polymarket上CLARITY法案立法几率减半 #美联储加息是否已成定局
In plain terms, the market suddenly believes the bill is harder to pass. However, the core of the controversy isn’t the crypto-market regulatory framework itself; it’s the ethical rules regarding whether government officials hold crypto assets. The vote is a procedural one: even if it passes, it only allows the bill to move into the formal Senate debate—there are still several steps before it can truly become law. $BTC
$ETH
#Polymarket上CLARITY法案立法几率减半 #美联储加息是否已成定局
