BTC this round is no longer as simple as a “pullback.”
Just now it was still around 770,000, and now it has already dropped to about $75,800. The 24-hour decline is over 3%.
The support level at 76,400 has already been broken, which means the short-term rebound structure has been damaged.
Tonight there’s also a CLARITY Act vote. The market is clearly hesitant to get in right now—let’s drop the price first.
I’m not going to try to guess the bottom. I’m only watching two levels: whether the area around $75,000 can hold. If it holds, there may be a rebound around the time of the news;
If it breaks below $75,000, then keep looking at $73,800–$74,200. Don’t reach out to catch the falling knife.
Even if the bill passes smoothly tonight, it doesn’t necessarily mean BTC will surge right away. If the market has already priced it in early, the outcome could turn “good news becomes bad news.”
So my plan tonight is very clear: don’t front-run the bill, and don’t chase the first candle. Wait until the news lands—see whether BTC can get back above $76,400.
If it can’t reclaim it, then treat all rebounds as weak rebounds.
More important than being right once is not to keep adding to positions heavier and heavier while the market is still falling.
What do you think—will we first hold around $75,000 tonight, or do we need to search for support further down? $AIN $AKE #美联储加息是否已成定局
Just now it was still around 770,000, and now it has already dropped to about $75,800. The 24-hour decline is over 3%.
The support level at 76,400 has already been broken, which means the short-term rebound structure has been damaged.
Tonight there’s also a CLARITY Act vote. The market is clearly hesitant to get in right now—let’s drop the price first.
I’m not going to try to guess the bottom. I’m only watching two levels: whether the area around $75,000 can hold. If it holds, there may be a rebound around the time of the news;
If it breaks below $75,000, then keep looking at $73,800–$74,200. Don’t reach out to catch the falling knife.
Even if the bill passes smoothly tonight, it doesn’t necessarily mean BTC will surge right away. If the market has already priced it in early, the outcome could turn “good news becomes bad news.”
So my plan tonight is very clear: don’t front-run the bill, and don’t chase the first candle. Wait until the news lands—see whether BTC can get back above $76,400.
If it can’t reclaim it, then treat all rebounds as weak rebounds.
More important than being right once is not to keep adding to positions heavier and heavier while the market is still falling.
What do you think—will we first hold around $75,000 tonight, or do we need to search for support further down? $AIN $AKE #美联储加息是否已成定局
