Key Future 52 Hours
Several Critical Time-Point Milestone Events
Beijing Time, September 16 (Wed) 02:15
The Digital Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) cloture
Senate procedural vote
If it’s more than 60 votes to pass = proceed to debate
If it fails = essentially stalled for this session
This time it most likely won’t pass
But even if it fails, there’s no need to be overly pessimistic
This bill is estimated to pass in 2027
The timing is just right
In 2027, the bull market will rise; in 2028, it will be cut in half; in 2029, it will peak
September 17 (Thu) 02:00 |
Federal Reserve interest rate decision + dot plot
Market expectations: a rate hike of 25bp
The market’s current reaction has already priced in a 25bp hike
The focus is on “how many more times within the year”
September 17 (Thu) 02:30
Washington press conference
Whether the wording is more hawkish or dovish matters more than “whether they will raise rates or not”
But it’s also likely this press conference won’t bring any clearer, more precise information
It still won’t give the outside world a very definite signal
It comes down to everyone’s understanding and analysis skills
#美联储加息是否已成定局
#清晰法案
Several Critical Time-Point Milestone Events
Beijing Time, September 16 (Wed) 02:15
The Digital Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) cloture
Senate procedural vote
If it’s more than 60 votes to pass = proceed to debate
If it fails = essentially stalled for this session
This time it most likely won’t pass
But even if it fails, there’s no need to be overly pessimistic
This bill is estimated to pass in 2027
The timing is just right
In 2027, the bull market will rise; in 2028, it will be cut in half; in 2029, it will peak
September 17 (Thu) 02:00 |
Federal Reserve interest rate decision + dot plot
Market expectations: a rate hike of 25bp
The market’s current reaction has already priced in a 25bp hike
The focus is on “how many more times within the year”
September 17 (Thu) 02:30
Washington press conference
Whether the wording is more hawkish or dovish matters more than “whether they will raise rates or not”
But it’s also likely this press conference won’t bring any clearer, more precise information
It still won’t give the outside world a very definite signal
It comes down to everyone’s understanding and analysis skills
#美联储加息是否已成定局
#清晰法案