🇨🇳 September 18|Crypto Market Brief$BNB🧧 🔥 Regulatory Risk-On: The SEC acts, BTC returns above $77K The Fed and the Bank of Japan tightened policy in succession this week, but the Crypto market turns green today instead. BTC has reclaimed $77K, SOL breaks through $105, and DeFi, RWA, and some L2s clearly outperform the broader market. 🏛 SEC: Tokenized Stocks receive a 5-year “innovation exemption” The SEC introduces an Innovation Exemption, allowing qualifying Tokenized Securities Venues to trade a portion of tokenized NMS stocks in a permissioned environment via AMMs and liquidity pools. Key conditions: • Must represent real stock ownership interests • Includes shareholder rights such as dividends and voting • Synthetic Stocks are not covered • Issuers can raise objections before listing • Trading volume, trading instruments, and transparency are restricted This isn’t a complete overhaul of market-structure legislation, but it means stock trading is truly starting to move On-Chain. ⚡ CFTC simultaneously eases DeFi software restrictions Yesterday, the CFTC expanded its No-Action scope: qualifying “Passive Software” providers, including some DeFi interfaces and self-custody wallet software, may avoid enforcement for having to register as an Introducing Broker for related activities, provided certain conditions are met—such as not custodying users’ assets. The two regulatory actions appeared almost at the same time. CLARITY is holding things up, but the On-Chain market isn’t stopping. 🏦 S&P Global to acquire OpenZeppelin S&P Global announced the acquisition of OpenZeppelin. OpenZeppelin’s smart contract infrastructure has supported transfers worth more than $37T in total, completed 900+ security projects, and uncovered 10,000+ potential vulnerabilities. Traditional finance isn’t just buying Crypto assets, but the security infrastructure of the On-Chain market itself. 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan: Rate hike to 1.25% The BOJ raised interest rates by 25 bps to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. But the yen actually weakened instead, with no obvious reversal of the carry trade in the market for now. Meanwhile, BTC is back above $77K. 📈 ETF finally sees inflows On September 17, U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of about $159M, ending two straight days of large outflows. The prior two days saw cumulative outflows of about $746M, so what’s happening now looks more like funds are trying again to step in and absorb supply, rather than the trend having fully reversed. 🎯 What really changed today isn’t the interest rate—it’s “where the market is trading.” The Fed raised rates, so did the BOJ, #1688家族family
Personally, I feel this round of bear market may have basically run its course. The market now looks more like it’s transitioning from a bear market to a bull market, based on the 2023行情.
There are now two very clear indicators: technicals and timing.
One is trend. The BTC weekly MA5 has already moved back above the MA25. To me, this is a pretty obvious change.
The other is time. If we count it, this bear market has already lasted close to a year. Of course, I don’t think that means it must reverse just because the cycle has played out for a year. In crypto, cycles have never been a precise clock. History can only be used for reference—it can’t be applied directly as a template.
Besides, this market already shows quite a few things that are different from the past. For example, the rapid sell-off in October last year, and this year’s rally in August—both are relatively rare situations in previous cycles. So we can’t blindly cling to old patterns. The only thing that never changes in the world is that everything keeps changing, and we need to keep up with those changes.
So if you keep waiting for a bottom where all indicators are confirmed and the lowest point can be pinpointed precisely, you’ll easily end up realizing that by the time you’ve confirmed it, the market has already moved a long way forward. That’s exactly why I previously kept suggesting DCA—because no one can buy at the very bottom precisely.
So for most people, what’s less important right now is guessing where the lowest point is.
What matters more is whether the market has started transitioning from a bear-market structure into a bull-market structure. As for what I’ll do next, it’s simple: every pullback will be an opportunity. Unlike others who keep shouting that the bull market has ended every time it dips, I plan to update a new post to share my approach for friends who missed the move. If you’re interested, please like and comment. If there are enough people, I’ll update it.
Sixteen years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote the Bitcoin whitepaper—compared to the ETH PoS chain today, it’s almost like a small workshop’s product. But his ideas were ahead by more than just 16 years $BTC
Sing colorful songs for yourself; today is a day worth celebrating. I’ve finally put on a yellow crown—I'm also an Huang V now. Thank you, Binance Square, for building a platform for us to showcase our talents. In the future, I will be a loyal maintainer of Binance Square. Let’s all become better—better and better, more and more outstanding.🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹
🚨 Bank of Japan raises rates to a 31-year high—what should BTC watch out for?
The Bank of Japan has raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25%, reaching about the highest level in roughly 31 years.
Many people think:
Japan hikes rates—what does that have to do with BTC?
In fact, the connection could be bigger than you might imagine.
For many years, Japan has been one of the world’s key sources of low-cost funding.
Now that Japan’s interest rates continue to rise, it means:
💴 The cost of JPY funding increases 💧 Global liquidity at the margin tightens 📉 Carry trades may adjust further ⚡ Short-term volatility in risk assets like BTC could be amplified
But what the market truly needs to watch isn’t just this one +25 bps move.
It’s:
Whether Japan is entering a sustained rate-hike cycle.
If Japan’s rates keep normalizing, on top of the high-rate environment in the U.S., global funding costs may rise further.
Are you really suited to make a living by trading? Part Six
⑥ Finally, ask yourself one more question
Do you really spend a lot of time every day learning and analyzing?
Many people ask me:
“Why don’t I have results even after trading for a year?”
But if you dig in carefully:
How many hours do you actually spend learning every day?
Do you do a review afterward?
Do you keep a trading log?
Do you track your win rate, profit-to-loss ratio, and maximum drawdown?
Do you analyze what kinds of market conditions you are most likely to make mistakes in?
In the end, you’ll find that:
In fact, many people don’t really do it.
So some people say:
“I’m not good at trading, so trading isn’t for me.”
I think that conclusion was reached too quickly.
You should first ask yourself:
Have I really built a trading environment that suits me?
Have I really found a trading approach that fits my personality?
Have I really put in enough time to learn?
Have I systematically verified my method?
If these questions still haven’t been resolved,
then it’s time to say:
“Trading isn’t working.”
Actually, it’s still too early.
Finally, what I want to say is:
Many people understand “successful trading” as:
Finding a magical indicator.
But in reality, truly long-term, stable trading is more like a complete system:
your income structure +your lifestyle +your trading +your personality +a trading style that suits you +knowledge +risk management +mental resilience
As long as any one of these elements has been a problem for a long time,
it may eventually show up in your trading results.
So before asking:
“Can I get rich by trading?”
first ask yourself:
“Is my current life really already prepared for me to become a trader?”
This may be far more important than learning another indicator.
If you’re interested in trading, feel free to leave a comment in the comment section or join the chat room to exchange ideas and learn together and grow together! #Paradigm披露持有ZEC #Paradigm披露持有ZEC
🍃Walk forward with the mountain breeze, and let yourself settle through each step⛰️ When climbing to see the scenery, what matters most is focus on your footing—trading and “cultivation” are the same📊. Market ups and downs come and go swiftly—don’t let short-term fluctuations disrupt your rhythm🕊️. Stay independent in thinking, keep your inner order, and don’t blindly follow the crowd or chase trends✨. Accumulate understanding slowly, hold your impulses in check—opportunities will come in their own time💎. Keep your passion, delve deeper inward, and along the way you’ll have your own rewards🌿
Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?
✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound. Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.
✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.
During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.
Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.
The strategy direction is already clear: Spot first—enter in batches at 75,000 and 73,000, further improving fault tolerance; At the 75,000 level for futures, we’ve repeatedly “harvested” there multiple times. Missing once is fine—wait for stronger support at 73,000; ETH support reference: 2360, 2200.
Once a deep drawdown of 20% or so arrives—like a sudden bloodbath—this kind of “golden falling” window must be boldly used to build positions.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. This strategy is simple yet very effective: sell when crowds are loud, buy when no one is paying attention. After successfully escaping the top at a high level, the main task now is to gradually take back the chips on dips. After that, when you encounter good trading opportunities, jump right in. For long-term positioning, hold steadfast; for short-term gains, also seize the moment.
🔥$ZEC has rushed to 1500—can it still move higher from here?
This round of ZEC’s strength has indeed gone beyond many people’s expectations.
From breaking through a key resistance level and continuously setting new highs, it has now entered a very critical position:
The uptrend hasn’t shown obvious signs of being broken, but the short-term market has already entered a high-level standoff.
Currently, the market has a few viewpoints that are quite interesting.
Some traders believe that ZEC now looks more like high-level consolidation within a strong trend. As long as the core breakout zone can be defended, there’s still a possibility for further upward expansion.
But some analysts are starting to warn:
Rising too fast is itself a risk.
Derivatives positioning continues to increase, and technical indicators have also moved into a clearly overheated area.
So going forward, I won’t simply chase the number “1500.”
I’m watching three areas instead:
First, the breakout zone overhead.
If ZEC can continue to break the prior high with expanding volume, and after breaking out it can turn this zone into a new support level, then the strong uptrend still has room to continue.
For the next phase above, keep an eye on higher integer psychological levels.
Second, the pressure around 1500.
This is a very important psychological level.
If it spikes up and then quickly falls back, it suggests that profit-taking from higher levels has started to cash in.
In that case, the short term is more likely to enter consolidation rather than immediately pushing higher.
Third, the core support zone below.
Right now, market analysis is focused on the earlier breakout zone.
As long as this zone holds, ZEC is still in a strong structure.
But if it breaks down and the subsequent retest can’t reclaim it, then be careful—this rally may be entering a deeper correction. Earlier analysis also pointed to the next lower layer of support as an observation area if the trend starts to weaken.
So my conclusion is simple:
ZEC still has upside potential, but the risk of chasing after a spike is getting higher.
Strong breakout and holding firm → continue to look for trend extension.
Push high and then pull back at high levels → wait for the dip to confirm.
If core support is lost → guard against the uptrend structure weakening.
When the market is strong, you can’t rely on emotion to chase.
I’d rather wait for a comfortable entry point than FOMO just because I see 1500.
Are you really suited to make a living by trading? Part Six
⑥ Finally, ask yourself one more question
Do you really spend a lot of time every day learning and analyzing?
Many people ask me:
“Why don’t I have results even after trading for a year?”
But if you dig in carefully:
How many hours do you actually spend learning every day?
Do you do a review afterward?
Do you keep a trading log?
Do you track your win rate, profit-to-loss ratio, and maximum drawdown?
Do you analyze what kinds of market conditions you are most likely to make mistakes in?
In the end, you’ll find that:
In fact, many people don’t really do it.
So some people say:
“I’m not good at trading, so trading isn’t for me.”
I think that conclusion was reached too quickly.
You should first ask yourself:
Have I really built a trading environment that suits me?
Have I really found a trading approach that fits my personality?
Have I really put in enough time to learn?
Have I systematically verified my method?
If these questions still haven’t been resolved,
then it’s time to say:
“Trading isn’t working.”
Actually, it’s still too early.
Finally, what I want to say is:
Many people understand “successful trading” as:
Finding a magical indicator.
But in reality, truly long-term, stable trading is more like a complete system:
your income structure +your lifestyle +your trading +your personality +a trading style that suits you +knowledge +risk management +mental resilience
As long as any one of these elements has been a problem for a long time,
it may eventually show up in your trading results.
So before asking:
“Can I get rich by trading?”
first ask yourself:
“Is my current life really already prepared for me to become a trader?”
This may be far more important than learning another indicator.
If you’re interested in trading, feel free to leave a comment in the comment section or join the chat room to exchange ideas and learn together and grow together! #Paradigm披露持有ZEC #Paradigm披露持有ZEC