#美联储加息是否已成定局

September 15th Spot Gold Evening Analysis

The US evening session is about to begin. As the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting approaches, the market remains generally cautious. U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar are staying at high levels, and continued rate-hike expectations keep putting pressure on gold prices. Geopolitical risk hedging from the Middle East can only provide limited support. Expect the price to be more frequently “washed” with stop-hunt type spikes/needle-like wicks, so do not chase orders blindly.

From a technical perspective, today’s gold price has repeatedly oscillated. Any short-term rebound is merely technical correction after a decline and has not reversed the bearish bias. Overhead resistance layers continue to weigh on the price. Tonight, the approach is still mainly to look for selling on rebounds (sell at higher levels), with limited consideration for going long on dips.

The key resistance above lies in the 4310–4330 area. Rebounds are likely to stall here; you may build short positions in batches, targeting 4280–4265;
The key support below is 4250–4260. Only if price retraces into this zone and shows a clear signal of stabilization/turning upward should you consider a small, low-risk bet on a short-term rebound.

Before the decision is released, market volatility may increase significantly, and both long and short positions may be swept quickly back and forth. For evening trading, you must strictly control position size. For every entry, ensure you have a stop-loss in place. Do not hold positions hoping for reversal, and do not over-leverage your bets. Aim for quick in-and-out execution on short-term moves, reserving your focus for the trend that emerges after the policy decision is implemented in the early hours of Thursday.

The above is for sharing trading insights only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; enter the market with caution. Please refer to Cheng Jingsheng’s Shipan plan for the specific strategy.$XAU
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