Tonight it's not just about watching CLARITY—BTC also has to get through the Fed

BTC is currently around $76,905. It has pulled back from the intraday high of $79,474, with the low briefly approaching $76,682. Price hasn’t broken out of a one-way trend, suggesting that capital is waiting for certainty rather than showing a lack of trading interest.

Over the next 48 hours, there are two hard catalysts: the U.S. Senate’s 60-vote procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, and tomorrow’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. The former determines whether the regulatory bill can keep moving forward; the latter directly affects dollar liquidity and the valuation of risk assets.

What’s most worth watching now isn’t a simple “good news or bad news,” but three possible reactions:

First, whether BTC can hold above $76,700;

Second, after the news is digested, whether the rebound can regain $78,000;

Third, whether ETH, BNB, and other high-beta assets show even larger swings.

If the two events point in the same direction, the market could quickly develop a trend. If one is more bullish and the other more bearish, the odds of getting chopped up and swept for losses are actually higher. Will you treat tonight as a direction-selection moment, or just a volatility window?

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