For today’s ZEC, my view is: the daily chart is still strong. For the short term, first watch whether it can reclaim 1150 and close back above it. Before it re-establishes itself, I won’t chase this rebound. High-volatility coins make it easiest for people to treat a single bullish candle as confirmation of a trend—staying calm matters more.

As of 13:58 on September 15, ZEC is around 1146. The 1-hour EMA20 at about 1151 is pressing above the price, but the EMA50 around 1140 is still below the price; RSI is about 53. This suggests the short term isn’t one-sidedly weak—it’s just that the rebound is currently temporarily getting stuck around the moving averages. On the 4-hour chart, price is still above EMA20 around 1137 and EMA50 around 1120, with RSI at 54. The larger structure hasn’t broken yet, but a new upside breakout hasn’t formed either.

I treat 1150 as the immediate dividing line: if the hourly candles hold steady above 1150 on rising volume, then there’s a chance to look at 1175; above that lies the previous high resistance around 1224. If 1150 can’t be reclaimed for a long time, and after a breakdown below 1136 the rebound fails, then for the short term we should respect the pullback—first observe the area around 1113. The daily EMA20 is near 1021, giving some buffer for the medium-term trend, but that doesn’t mean the short-term pullback will automatically end.

ZEC’s perpetual funding rate is still positive, which indicates the longs haven’t fully pulled out. The Fed meeting window hasn’t ended yet; before macro news comes out, volatility spiking is the norm. What I fear most at this point isn’t missing out—it’s mistaking “no confirmation” for “it’s required to jump in.”

My plan is very clear: reassess only after price returns above 1150 and regains strength. If 1136 is lost and the rebound fails, then shift to a defensive stance. Positions can wait, but rules can’t be skipped. The above is only my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice.$ZEC #Zcash #加密市场