In the recent Asian trading session, financial markets saw a clear wave of volatility. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury briefly broke through the key psychological level of 5% during the day, before closing at 4.960%. Lifted directly by the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and major Asian currencies generally came under pressure. The dollar rose 0.3% against the yen to 154.82, rose 0.45% against the South Korean won to 1,353.14, while the Australian dollar fell 0.15% against the dollar to 0.7126.

Deutsche Bank analysts noted that this surge in yields was driven by a combination of factors, including persistent concerns about inflation, high oil prices, the government’s large financing needs, and bond issuance in the artificial intelligence sector. The 5% level is an important watershed both psychologically and economically. If it remains above this level for a prolonged period, it will undoubtedly further tighten global financial conditions and increase uncertainty around macro liquidity.

Judging from the traditional financial markets’ reaction, strong Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar index are exerting ongoing valuation pressure on risk assets. Rising risk-free rates often push up global funding costs, prompting capital to rebalance and shift liquidity among different asset classes.

For the crypto market, an environment of relatively tight macro liquidity typically means that the timing of new inflows from the sidelines will remain cautious. Crypto assets are currently maintaining a choppy consolidation as they adapt to the normalization of high interest rates and a strong dollar. The next move still needs close monitoring of changes in liquidity indicators.

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