9.15 Market Highlights:

1. BTC is getting too entangled on the small timeframe. Overall it looks like a breakout after grinding at the base, but the buying pressure isn’t strong enough, and it has fallen back into $78k range consolidation. Don’t chase the move. If it retraces, keep probing lower with small bounces;

2. ETH surged quickly in the early morning, then the price action “looped back” to the starting point. This is a fairly typical liquidity liquidation. For support, watch the 2430–2450 area;

3. Bitfinex analyst said: After the decision by the Fed, Bitcoin may test $82,000 and $76,000;

4. Oil prices have jumped again. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is nearing 5%, and the probability of the Fed hiking rates by 25 bps this week is now close to 90%;

5. Arthur Hayes: If AI compute demand collapses, the Fed may be forced to “print money” to rescue the market;