#美联储加息概率升至89%

September 15 Spot Gold Morning Analysis

In the early session, the market continues the overnight choppy, slightly bearish rhythm. After several prior trading days of range-bound “high-level” shakeouts, buyers’ upward momentum has noticeably slowed, and sustained selling pressure at the highs remains evident.

At present, market sentiment is cautious overall. U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index are still hovering at high levels. Expectations for Fed policy continue to weigh on any room for gold price rebounds. In the short term, the market lacks sustained momentum to push higher. Overall, the structure is weak: rebounds are feeble and pullbacks have more room.

From a technical perspective, gold previously surged but met resistance and then pulled back. The daily chart closed with a bearish bias, clearly suppressing the price. Short-term moving averages have turned downward. The bearish intraday range is clear. The early-session mild rebound is only a technical correction, not a reversal signal. Do not blindly chase longs in the morning. The main intraday rhythm remains: sell on rebounds as the primary approach, with occasional long positions as a secondary one.

The key overhead resistance is concentrated around 4335–4350, which is also the intraday line between strength and weakness. As long as the rebound fails to break this zone, it remains an opportunity to sell with the trend. If price stalls under resistance and struggles to rise further, you can scale in short positions in batches. Downside targets are 4300 and 4275, key support levels.

Short-term support lies in the 4280–4250 area. If there is a quick early-session pullback that does not break the low, and then forms stabilization with a pin-bar close, you may consider a low-risk, small-position bet on a modest rebound. Upside targets are 4310 and 4335.

Overall, the market is choppy and repetitive, with frequent shakeouts. In trading, strictly control position size, do not enter without a stop-loss, and be patient to wait for precise levels. Stay disciplined: don’t be aggressive, and don’t chase trades. Follow the intraday rhythm steadily to secure profits.

The above is only sharing of trading insights and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; enter the market with caution $XAU
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