$AMZNB #AMZN For now, put the key conclusion first: if it can’t reclaim 253.565, keep defending 251.03. Current price: 253.71. In the last 1 hour: -0.04%, in the last 24 hours: +0.09%.

With the last 1 hour at -0.04% and the last 24 hours at +0.09%, the two timeframes have not formed sufficiently clear directional alignment. In a range-bound market, the tolerance for chasing or cutting losses is lower. It’s more suitable to use the upper boundary confirmation to confirm direction, and lower boundary confirmation for support/holding. The midline should only be treated as the strength-vs-weakness divider.

For the short term, first watch whether 251.03 can form continuous support. Then watch whether 253.565 can be reclaimed again. The former determines whether the selloff will slow down; the latter determines whether the rebound can strengthen. Without confirmation of both, it’s not advisable to judge opportunity based solely on the magnitude of the drop.

My scenario analysis isn’t a single-direction bet. If price breaks above 256.1 and can hold, it means upside space has been reopened. If it breaks below 251.03 and fails to rebound, the structure becomes further weaker. If it trades between the two, then keep observing the closing behavior on both sides of 253.565.

Position management should distinguish between swing/medium-term and short-term holdings. For existing medium-term positions, first check whether the structure is broken; don’t let repeated fluctuations on a single 1-hour candlestick keep changing your mind. For short-term positions, execute around support, resistance, and closing confirmations. If you’re in cash, you don’t have to chase price in the middle of the range—waiting for a clearer level usually provides an advantage.

Simplifying the conclusion doesn’t mean simplifying risk control. In real execution, you still need to wait for price confirmation and leave room to exit if your judgment turns invalid. Next, I’ll focus on tracking whether 253.565 holds or loses. Do you lean more toward testing 256.1 first, or going back to 251.03 first? Feel free to share your view and reasoning.

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