The BTC ETF is still pulling in money, but the price is pretty quiet today.๐
The US spot $BTC ETF recorded approximately a $191 million net inflow again on September 24, marking the sixth consecutive trading day of net inflows.
Among them, BlackRockโs IBIT saw daily inflows of about $163 millionโone product alone accounted for roughly 85% of that dayโs net inflows. Fidelityโs FBTC also pulled in around $12.86 million. As of now, the total net assets of US spot BTC ETFs have reached approximately $108.9 billion, or about 6.43% of BTCโs total market cap.
But hereโs whatโs interesting: Money keeps coming in, yet BTC hasnโt immediately pushed higher today.๐
After BTC surged from around 80,000 up to 86,000โ87,000 over the past few days, today it has mostly been consolidating around $84,000. As I write this, BTC is roughly around $84,000โ$84,200.
That just goes to show something: ETF fund flows are useful, but you canโt directly treat them as a short-term Buy/Sell signal.
At the very least, continuous net inflows suggest that thereโs still ongoing demand for BTC exposure via ETFsโan important data point to watch for the marketโs medium- to long-term structure.
But how the price moves in the short run depends on more factors at the same time: the profit-taking from the previous rally, futures positioning, the macro environment, and the sell pressure around the 86,000โ87,000 zone itself.
So even if ETFs keep flowing in today, it doesnโt automatically mean BTC has to print a big bullish candle.
On the flip side: If ETF inflows keep continuing while BTC is stuck here digesting the sell pressure, can it still hold the 84,000 level?
If price breaks back upward later, the ETF inflows would become a supportive backdrop for this stretch of action. If the price starts to weaken clearly, I also wonโt force a reason for the่กๆ (price action) just because โthe ETF is still buying.โ๐
Fund flows are a reference, and news is also a reference. In the end, we still have to go back to the chartโdoesnโt everyone agree?
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The crypto world never takes a day offโsingle-mindedly focused on making money (although most people are actually busy losing it). But today is the Mid-Autumn Festival, a day for family reunions. If youโre away from home and canโt really reunite with your family, then come to Binance. In every place, youโll find a friend nearby; across the horizon, it feels just as close. #ไธญ็ง่ๅฟซไน $BTC #BTC .
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Condition: After a pullback, enter only if the 0.150โ0.152 zone holds and a bullish 15m candle forms.
๐ด SHORT setup Not short directly for now. If we get strong rejection at the 0.1620โ0.1630 zone, then:
Short Entry: 0.1615โ0.1630 SL: 0.1655 TP1: 0.1560 TP2: 0.1510
In the current market data, LOBSTER has very high volatility; the recent 24h range has also been very wide, so itโs important to keep leverage low. ๏ฟฝ
๐จ BTC is in a correction, while ETFs keep attracting inflows for the 6th straight day.
On September 24, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of about $191 million, with BlackRockโs IBIT contributing roughly $163 million.
More importantly, the cumulative net inflows over the past six trading days have already exceeded $2.8 billion.
This creates the most notable divergence in the current market:
๐ BTC pulls back from highs ๐ฐ ETF funds keep flowing in ๐ฅ Leveraged longs are being liquidated ๐ฆ But institutional allocation demand hasnโt disappeared in sync
StoneX senior technical strategist Michael Boutros says that behind the recent rise in BTC, there are mainly three categories of buying: ETF inflows, corporate treasury purchases, and short-covering.
The difference is: short-covering will eventually end, while ETF allocation funds theoretically can continue.
However, the $191 million figure also signals something elseโETF inflows are cooling. Previously, daily inflows were close to $1 billion, then gradually declined to $191 million.
So you canโt simply interpret it as โETF inflows = price will rise immediately.โ
Whatโs truly worth watching is:
Whether ETF funds can continue to hold net inflow, while BTCโafter deleveragingโregains spot buying momentum.
If prices adjust but money keeps entering, it looks more like turnover of positions.
Only if ETFs also begin sustaining negative flows might the market logic genuinely change.
The most important question now isnโt whether BTC is up or down today, but:
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$BTC Macro alarm sounded! The probability of a rate hike in October soars to 75%โis Bitcoinโs โgolden pitโ coming?
The China-U.S. summit hasnโt even ended, yet risk markets are already taking a hitโdonโt just watch fluctuations in crude oil. The real danger is that the rate-hike gloom hasnโt really lifted! ๐ฃ
๐ธ Macro data hits hard: The probability of a rate hike in October jumps straight to 75.3%, and the market has started pricing it in with real money. After Brent crude fell below 100 and rebounded, yields on U.S. Treasuries for the 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year tenors all hit the highest levels since 2007. Oil is down, but bond yields are spikingโthis suggests that internal inflation in the U.S. is the tough nut to crack, sticking far more than expected!
๐ธ The Fedโs hawkish hammer: Fed governors have been swinging the hawkโs bat one after another. Long-end rates canโt be suppressed, and the Treasury Department has no immediate options. Can risk assets try to keep themselves out of trouble? Not likely. In the short term, the market will most likely face further pressure and consolidation shakeouts.
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This issueโs SOL red envelope ๐งง๐งง๐งง is here. Bull markets may pause, but they wonโt go out. Profits may pull back, but you must stay firm and hold on. Wishing every follower who pays attention to me to get rich! Share + like + comment to claim this issueโs ๐งง SOL.
Big pancake (BTC), and second pancake (ETH) as well: the overall direction is still more bullish.
First, letโs talk about BTC. Big pancake has now entered a very critical position. After the breakout earlier, the price is currently consolidating around 86K. The main resistance zone to watch above is 87Kโ88K. If it can continue to break out here with increased volume, the next step for the market will start looking at the 90Kโ92K area. Right now, many analysts also view 90K as the next important test for this leg of the uptrend. So I wonโt start guessing the top just because BTC has already risen a lot. What strong markets fear most is getting short halfway through. On the downside, I mainly want to see whether 85K can hold. As long as after a pullback it can still stand back above, then the current upward structure hasnโt been broken. If there is a short-term shakeout, I would actually first observe the support rather than immediately assume the trend is over.
ETH is the same today. Second pancake is currently trading above 2700, and the short term has already entered the pressure area weโve been watching. Right now the key is: Can 2700 turn into support, and can 2800 be broken through? If ETH can effectively break above 2800, and after breaking out it doesnโt immediately fall back, then the market will next continue to look toward around 3000. However, at 2800 I will still anticipate a possible shakeout. Because the closer the price gets to a major resistance level, profit-taking and shorts will both start increasing. So my approach isnโt to chase the rally, but rather: Hold above 2700 โ break above 2800 โ then look at 3000. If the push higher fails, wait for the pullback to confirm. $BTC $ETH
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