$AVGOB #AVGO Can this market continue? It doesn’t depend on how much it has risen before—it depends on whether the trend can complete “advance, consolidate, and then reconfirm.” Current: 1-hour +0.19%, 24-hours -2.38%.

The current price is near the lower bound of the last 24-hour range, with 1-hour +0.19% and 24-hours -2.38%. The core of low-level analysis isn’t trying to bottom too early; it’s watching whether, after a break, the price can quickly recover. Being able to reclaim the level means sell pressure is absorbed. If it keeps lingering below the lower bound, it indicates weakness hasn’t ended.

The first condition for an extension of the structure is that 352.39 is not broken down effectively. The second condition is that the price can retest and regain 358.98. If, after an advance, price stays long-term below the midline, it suggests the active buy side is weakening. If it further falls below 345.8, the original continuation assumption needs to be canceled.

For execution, set clear conditions: after a breakout above 358.98, you need confirmation—not chasing just because there’s a momentary surge. After dipping to 345.8, you need to see whether it can quickly recover—not just react to every drop. When the middle zone doesn’t offer sufficient reward-to-risk, waiting is also part of the strategy.

Position management should separate swing trades from short-term trades. For existing swing positions, first check whether the structure is broken; don’t let repeated fluctuations of a single 1-hour candlestick constantly affect you. For short-term positions, execute around support, resistance, and closing confirmations. Those who are currently in cash don’t need to chase the price in the middle of the range—waiting for a clearer level often brings an advantage.

A trading plan must include invalidation conditions. If your judgment is correct, you can realize gains in stages. If your judgment is wrong, you must also allow yourself to exit; you can’t use adding to a position to disguise the fact that the original logic has changed. The market will update, and your views should adjust according to price evidence.

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