$XPL moved.

In 15m it directly pulled up 1.15%; volume surged to 5.48x, volatility spiked to 3.28. This kind of volume-price coordination isn’t ground out by a slow, bearish grind—it’s someone driving it higher. The closing price has already broken above the upper band of the last 20 5m candles; the buy order volume vs 2.43 is stronger, and the aggressive-to-total trade gap is -41.6%. The direction is pretty clear.

But what’s interesting is that OI is dropping. In 15m: -0.10%, in 1h: -0.09%. Price is up while positions are down—typical of short covering, or positioning flattening. The abnormal percentile for OI is still sitting at 94.6%, with the whole pool abnormal #10 and nominal change #18—meaning this level itself is an extreme zone, not just a random touch.

Over the past 24h, turnover is 27.53M; depth has confirmed it, and volume is higher than normal. Now it comes down to whether this short-covering wave can spark a new long relay, or whether it just fires off and then fizzles after the shorts are done. Whether to chase or not—follow your own timing.