$ETH is the critical point again. The old whale is taking action, and the Fed may deliver another blow.

Retail traders, don’t rush in just to become the bag-holder. If you already have positions, run now.

News: An ETH whale that has been asleep for 4 years suddenly topped up 1,250 ETH to MAX. After trading for years, the thing I fear most is seeing this kind of move. An old address that hadn’t moved for years suddenly wakes up and goes to the exchange—usually not to catch up, but to cash out. Once this level of chips gets dumped, the order book won’t be able to hold it; people who rush in are easily buried.

The macro picture isn’t calm either. Jefferies believes the Fed could raise rates this week, and worries about tighter liquidity are back in focus. Crypto hates this kind of moment: before the news even lands, money shrinks first and sentiment collapses first.

Looking at the 1-hour chart: after ETH surged to 2666, it pulled back and is now around 2526. MA7, MA25, and MA99 are all squeezed around the 2500 area—messy and tangled, with no clear direction chosen yet. The capital flow is even more direct: there’s small inflow in the short term, but over the last 12 hours and 24 hours there have been large net outflows. This suggests big money is still withdrawing, and the rebound lacks support.

Lao Zhang’s trading plan:
Shorts: enter aggressively at the current price; more conservatively, wait for a rebound to the 2550–2560 area to enter on resistance.
Longs: when it retraces to around 2460–2430 and stabilizes, then try a small long position.

Lao Zhang’s personal view: Most likely, price will whip around between 2400 and 2600 intraday. Before the Fed decision, the shakeout will be brutal. Holding a heavy position and “toughing it out” is like joking with your own account.

When whales wake up, they’re not here to pump the market—they’re here to cash out. Don’t treat a dead-cat bounce as a reversal. Don’t step in to hold the bag for big money. When the market turns cold, you can tell instantly who’s propping things up.

For specific entry points or questions about getting un-stuck. 👇 Come to the Binance chat room to find Lao Zhang 👇

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