From now until Wednesday, BTC must clear two consecutive hurdles: the CLARITY vote and the Federal Reserve decision
Tomorrow, the Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY bill, and the day after that will be the Fed’s interest-rate decision. Trump’s concession on the ethics provisions increases the chances of the bill moving forward, but the 60-vote threshold problem remains unresolved.
With these two factors combined, the market may follow three possible paths:
First, the bill advances while the Fed stays on hold—risk appetite could quickly recover;
Second, the bill is blocked while the Fed turns more hawkish—BTC may continue testing around 75,000;
Third, policy tailwinds first lift prices, then interest-rate expectations get pushed back down, creating a typical spike-and-retrace.
So going forward, don’t just look at the headline news—you also need to watch whether ETF inflows return, whether BTC can hold above 78,000, and whether ETH and other major coins are moving in sync.
Do you think tomorrow’s vote will surprise the market first, or will it raise volatility first?
$BTC $ETH #比特币 #CLARITY法案 #美联储 #加密市场
Tomorrow, the Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY bill, and the day after that will be the Fed’s interest-rate decision. Trump’s concession on the ethics provisions increases the chances of the bill moving forward, but the 60-vote threshold problem remains unresolved.
With these two factors combined, the market may follow three possible paths:
First, the bill advances while the Fed stays on hold—risk appetite could quickly recover;
Second, the bill is blocked while the Fed turns more hawkish—BTC may continue testing around 75,000;
Third, policy tailwinds first lift prices, then interest-rate expectations get pushed back down, creating a typical spike-and-retrace.
So going forward, don’t just look at the headline news—you also need to watch whether ETF inflows return, whether BTC can hold above 78,000, and whether ETH and other major coins are moving in sync.
Do you think tomorrow’s vote will surprise the market first, or will it raise volatility first?
$BTC $ETH #比特币 #CLARITY法案 #美联储 #加密市场