Macro Outlook and Logic Analysis
Recently, expectations of further interest rate hikes have continued to heat up. Combined with the European Central Bank hiking rates ahead of the U.S. and a sharp surge in oil prices, gold’s short-term upward movement is indeed facing heavy resistance. However, once the wind changes after these two days and after the unfavorable news has been priced in, we still expect another wave of rebound and recovery room. (Note: it’s unlikely to see the kind of explosive rallies from the past—treat this as a rebound.)
In essence, Trump and Woz are playing the same game with different roles—one is playing the “red face,” the other the “white face.” If Fed rate hikes lead U.S. stocks and gold to briefly dip and stab lower, it is often the rebound opportunity after the bearish factors have been exhausted.
Live Trading Plan: Gold ($XAU ) —— Low-long Strategy
Trade Direction: Go long (10x leverage)
Initial Position: Around $4,300
Add-on Position: $4,280
Stop-Loss: $4,250
Take-Profit Target: Around $4,380
Logic Support: After last week’s CPI bottomed out around $4,280–$4,300, buy-side support was clearly evident. The strong support is valid—wait for the bearish news to be fully priced in, then position for the recovery rebound.
Crude Oil ($CL ) —— High-short Strategy
Trade Direction: Go short (10x isolated margin per order)
Head Position: Around 99.3
Add-on Position: 103.3
Estimated Average Price: Around 101.8
Stop-Loss: 105.0
Take-Profit Target: 95.88–93.88 range
Recently, expectations of further interest rate hikes have continued to heat up. Combined with the European Central Bank hiking rates ahead of the U.S. and a sharp surge in oil prices, gold’s short-term upward movement is indeed facing heavy resistance. However, once the wind changes after these two days and after the unfavorable news has been priced in, we still expect another wave of rebound and recovery room. (Note: it’s unlikely to see the kind of explosive rallies from the past—treat this as a rebound.)
In essence, Trump and Woz are playing the same game with different roles—one is playing the “red face,” the other the “white face.” If Fed rate hikes lead U.S. stocks and gold to briefly dip and stab lower, it is often the rebound opportunity after the bearish factors have been exhausted.
Live Trading Plan: Gold ($XAU ) —— Low-long Strategy
Trade Direction: Go long (10x leverage)
Initial Position: Around $4,300
Add-on Position: $4,280
Stop-Loss: $4,250
Take-Profit Target: Around $4,380
Logic Support: After last week’s CPI bottomed out around $4,280–$4,300, buy-side support was clearly evident. The strong support is valid—wait for the bearish news to be fully priced in, then position for the recovery rebound.
Crude Oil ($CL ) —— High-short Strategy
Trade Direction: Go short (10x isolated margin per order)
Head Position: Around 99.3
Add-on Position: 103.3
Estimated Average Price: Around 101.8
Stop-Loss: 105.0
Take-Profit Target: 95.88–93.88 range