A deadly stillness before the storm! $BTC 77000 is a bull trap. Tonight may bring the decapitation blade—run!

Bulls can’t sleep tonight! 77,000 is the execution platform, and the $3.1B in exit funds is digging your grave for you!

ETFs have bled for 4 straight days. Institutions are withdrawing, and long positions were liquidated for 196 million—far exceeding short liquidations. Pompliano calls for 100,000 to need policy tailwinds, but distant help can’t solve near-term problems; a whale has moved $225 million—an undertow is brewing.

The Fed’s probability of a rate hike in September is 86.2%. ETFs lost 462.7 million for the week, with long liquidations of 196 million versus shorts only at 80 million.

Ceyuan Viewpoint: A 86% rate-hike probability drains liquidity. With ETFs bleeding for four days and institutions running, this is not the time to bottom-fish.

Trading Strategy: Shorts are the priority; short on every bounce. 77,500–77,800 is the best entry zone for shorts. Longs should only be lightly positioned to catch a rebound at 75,800–76,000. Keep position size within 20% before the FOMC.

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#全网爆仓6.74亿美元 #Clarity法案9月15日程序性投票