Baoluo币商资本

The panic index is increasing, and the greed index is decreasing!
Market sentiment is emotional, and it is very important for the market!$BTC

🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
Don’t envy other people’s brilliance—everyone has hardships they don’t let others see. Accept your own ordinariness, steady your mind, and simply make the most of each day in front of you is enough. $BNB

🍃🧧🧧🧧Midday rest—set a tea table to cultivate calm, keeping away from the noise of the order book📊

Only when nature rests can it stretch and unfold; trading is about knowing how to wait🕊️.
Don’t chase every wave of fluctuation—sink your mind and quietly observe market changes✨.
Hold to your original intention and risk control, accumulate strength and wait for the right opportunity💎.
Wishing fellow travelers—may you have inner calm, and move forward with ease [heart]🧧🧧🧧
#比特币守稳77000美元上方
#交易心理
#1688家族family

2026.9.15 Tue
Good morning, babies

US Stock Market Trends

Dow Jones 　　　　 0.29%　52421
NASDAQ 　　　　 0.56%　26186
NASDAQ100　　　 0.82%　29127
S&P500　　　　　 0.48%　7619

The US stock market closed lower again. Senior executives from several AI-related companies expressed concerns about AI safety and urged slowing down AI development, causing semiconductor stocks—led by NVIDIA—to fall and become one of the main factors dragging the broader market down. In addition, US 10-year Treasury yields briefly broke above 5%, further adding to market pressure.

According to the CME FedWatch, the probability that the Fed will raise rates by 0.25 percentage points on the 16th is now up to 90%.

Longbow Asset Management stated:

Breaking 10-year Treasury yields above 5% is a very significant event and sends many signals. This may force the Fed to respond with rate hikes more than once.

BTC:
Last night, BTC rose and briefly fell to around $76,000, but then gradually climbed back to 79,570. It is currently trading around $78,000.

Early tomorrow morning, the vote on the CLARITY Act is about to take place. Also, Trump has made a concession on moral standards for political figures trading cryptocurrencies, which has further increased market expectations that the bill will move forward smoothly—this could be one of the reasons for a BTC rebound.

The 4-hour chart has already broken above all EMA lines again.

From a technical perspective, BTC still maintains a relatively resilient trend. If the vote goes through tonight as well, the chances of breaking above the recent high of $82,200 are also worth expecting. If it fails, closely watch the key support at $76,000; if that level breaks, the pullback could be fairly deep. Support at $71,300--$72,200 is relatively strong. ETH is watching 2407.

The vote is expected to take place at 02:30 Beijing time on 9/16.

XLM:
Last night, XLM rose 9% and is currently trading around $0.19.

This upswing pushed the price back through the dense EMA area on the daily chart, and the technical structure has clearly strengthened.

However, in the short term, the price is still being suppressed by the $0.20 resistance line, so it cannot rise further for now. Whether it can break through this level will be the key going forward.

Given that XLM’s overall recent trend has been relatively resilient—and the bottom has already been consolidating for a period—if it can break above $0.20 next, the likelihood of further developing a short-term uptrend remains quite high.
Wishing you all a wonderful day today, babies!

Everyone who comes closer to me gets better and better, be joyful and happy, be grateful, and feel worthy

Without accumulating small steps, you cannot reach a thousand miles; without gathering small streams, you cannot become a great river or sea.
BNB

$NVDA.US
$XRPM.ETF
$AAPLB
#SolanaTransactionV1GoesLiveOnMainnet
#PhiladelphiaSemiconductorIndexFalls5.9%
#FedHikeOddsRiseTo89%

Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ

$CL

Energy

💰Sunlight on Golden Mountain—wealth in sight💰

Cold stars reflect on water, no empty fame to seek; faint and shallow their glow, purging river’s tranquil peak!

$NVDAB $AAPL.US $SPCXB
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claim here 👈🌹🌹🌹
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Rushing to mountains and seas, collecting every inch of light, letting beauty happen naturally in the scenery.
Chase mountains and shores, capture every ray, let beauty unfold naturally.

🎁 A Little ETH, A Lot of Love ❤️

This red packet is my small way of saying THANK YOU to my amazing community. 🙏 Keep supporting me, keep showing your love, and let’s continue this journey together. Your trust means everything! ❤️

Stay with me — more love, bigger red packets & better rewards are coming! 🚀💎

$ETH

What kind of abilities we have, we live the kind of life
No need to compete with others
Because people’s abilities differ
Different pursuits, different conditions
Don’t complain about the friction in life
And don’t chase a life that’s beyond your capabilities
The everyday bustle of the world—life isn’t easy
The greatest happiness in life is health and peace #AnthropicCEO呼吁放缓AI发展

Water never competes, yet holds all things.
Watch the waves flow slowly, let go of obsessions, embrace gains and losses.
Water never competes, yet holds all things.
Watch the waves flow slowly, let go of obsessions, embrace gains and losses.