光明社区-阿波罗

Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ

$CL

Energy

$Hawk 佛 only guides those who are destined/“fated” to it! #Hawk doesn’t expect everyone to understand it or be able to hold onto it!
#Hawk only guides those who have wisdom and are worthy of it❗️

May your heart be filled with the warm sunshine today, may everything you see be gentle, and everything you do be smooth.
May your heart be warm today, and everything you see gentle, everything you do smooth.

𝙒𝙃𝙀𝙉 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝙈𝘼𝙍𝙆𝙀𝙏 𝙂𝙀𝙏𝙎 𝙇𝙊𝙐𝘿, 𝙎𝙏𝘼𝙔 𝙌𝙐𝙄𝙀𝙏. 🤍🎀

𝘾𝙇𝘼𝙍𝙄𝙏𝙔 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙀𝙎 𝙁𝙍𝙊𝙈 𝙋𝘼𝙏𝙄𝙀𝙉𝘾𝙀, 𝙉𝙊𝙏 𝙋𝙍𝙀𝙎𝙎𝙐𝙍𝙀. 🔥

#BinanceSquareFamily #CryptoPatience #Cryptology_7

$LSK

50K followers achieved🎉🎉🎉! Thanks for everyone’s support and kindness! #Hawk is for freedom! ✊✊🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧

LUCiC comes with a mission: to save the people from the dark, fair launch, and LUCiC’s light shining on you and me. Transparent contracts. Total supply of 210M LUCiC. Healthy deflation model. NFT card holders receive permanent dividends. United market making—LUCiC is here with a mission: to save the people from the dark.

We believe in Fair Launch and Transparent Contracts. With a fixed supply of 210M and a healthy deflation model, we’re building to last.

🔥 NFT Cards = Lifetime Dividends.

🤝 United Market Making = Strength in numbers.

Join the movement. Let LUCiC light the way.
#LUCIC第一片净土

Lucic Introduction: On 2024-09-21, Cold Launch 210 million on the BSC chain,
No private placement, no presale, no airdrops, no mining,
No involvement from any capital partner. The contract is clean, transparent, and publicly available,
Marketing wallet is公开, community consensus on offline promotion (地推), aiming for Binance.
Mechanism:
4.5% slippage: 1️⃣ Of which 2% goes into the marketing wallet
2️⃣ 1.5% distributed to LP liquidity providers
3️⃣ 1% burned via transaction, sent to the black hole.
⚠️ Team permissions renounced, no blacklist, no whitelist
21% token locking until 2026-10-09, permissions renounced
Also 🈶 3333 cards sold, with permanent dividends!!!
Look at the LUCiC first-market in 2026—steadfast and unchanging, LUCIC gold dog, must list on Binance 🤭
#LUCIC第一片净土 #BNB走势 @光明社区-明道 @光明社区-千慧

Good morning🌞
Everyone online is playing “Bull Comes”, and the Brightness Community plays “Do things by following the right people.” Teacher Mingdao livestreams every Saturday or Sunday evening at 8 PM—2–20x potential. Come listen.

Mid-Autumn Festival is approaching, time passing so quickly and busily

Spring, summer, autumn, and winter are full of worries over money; I roam everywhere in the four directions—east, south, west, and north. 🔥 I’ve tasted every kind of hardship in the coin world, just to never bow my head in front of people. 🔥 There is no way back in life—once the principal is gone, who can keep it? 🔥 Hoping the market will turn warm again, more take-profits and fewer worries. 🔥

$PEOPLE Every year during the U.S. presidential election, this coin will have market action. “By the people, for the people” — you can stake a position in advance!

🧧✨ WHO’S READY FOR A USDT RED PACKET? 💸

The Red Packet is waiting for the crypto community! 🔥👀

To join:
💬 Comment 999
❤️ Hit Like
🔄 Repost & share
➕ Follow

That’s all! Keep an eye out and don’t miss the drop. 🧧🚀

Best of luck, everyone! 💚💰
#USDT #RedPacket #Crypto

Sing colorful songs for yourself; today is a day worth celebrating. I’ve finally put on a yellow crown—I'm also an Huang V now. Thank you, Binance Square, for building a platform for us to showcase our talents. In the future, I will be a loyal maintainer of Binance Square. Let’s all become better—better and better, more and more outstanding.🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹

$UNI I’m going to hold it tight and never let go

Sixteen years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote the Bitcoin whitepaper—compared to the ETH PoS chain today, it’s almost like a small workshop’s product. But his ideas were ahead by more than just 16 years
$BTC