Late on the weekend night, everyone in crypto is watching two things: the shelling in the Middle East, and next week’s Federal Reserve.
First, the macro picture. In August, core CPI month-over-month came in at 0.3%, beating expectations, and the market has priced next week’s FOMC rate hike probability up to 90%. Make no mistake—it’s a rate hike, not a cut. Oil prices, due to the whole Iran-and-Houthi situation, have climbed back above $100. Once energy costs rise, inflation is even harder to contain, and it’s definitely difficult for $BTC to stand aside.
But there’s an interesting detail: Trump says the war will be over soon, and then oil prices will crash; meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has had a pipeline hit but is holding back from retaliating. In other words, how long this war lasts is anyone’s guess, and the market is basically driven by whoever talks the most.
My take is simple: don’t chase trades over the weekend. Geopolitical headlines keep flipping the script—if you see one post and jump in, the next one will knock you right back out. Save your bullets for Wednesday’s FOMC; that’s when high-beta stuff like $ETH $SOL will have the real “fun” in terms of volatility.
Control your hands—stronger than anything else.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #美联储 #中东局势 #加密货币 #FOMC
First, the macro picture. In August, core CPI month-over-month came in at 0.3%, beating expectations, and the market has priced next week’s FOMC rate hike probability up to 90%. Make no mistake—it’s a rate hike, not a cut. Oil prices, due to the whole Iran-and-Houthi situation, have climbed back above $100. Once energy costs rise, inflation is even harder to contain, and it’s definitely difficult for $BTC to stand aside.
But there’s an interesting detail: Trump says the war will be over soon, and then oil prices will crash; meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has had a pipeline hit but is holding back from retaliating. In other words, how long this war lasts is anyone’s guess, and the market is basically driven by whoever talks the most.
My take is simple: don’t chase trades over the weekend. Geopolitical headlines keep flipping the script—if you see one post and jump in, the next one will knock you right back out. Save your bullets for Wednesday’s FOMC; that’s when high-beta stuff like $ETH $SOL will have the real “fun” in terms of volatility.
Control your hands—stronger than anything else.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #美联储 #中东局势 #加密货币 #FOMC