🚨 New attack in the Strait of Hormuz: the risk we’ve been tracking increases

In post #005, we saw how Saudi Arabia temporarily shut down its East-West pipeline after several drone attacks.

Now a new escalation has appeared.

The UKMTO (the British agency that monitors maritime security incidents) received a report that a vessel was hit by a projectile while transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

The extent of the damage—and who is responsible for the attack—has not yet been clarified.

Why does it matter?

Hormuz is one of the most important maritime chokepoints for transporting the world’s oil.

And this new incident comes while the Saudi East-West pipeline—an strategic route to avoid Hormuz—remains temporarily closed.

In other words:

pressure is no longer concentrated on just a single energy route.

For Bitcoin, the relationship remains indirect:

more risk to oil supply → possibility of more expensive oil → higher risk of inflation (general rise in prices) → potentially higher interest rates → a less favorable backdrop for BTC and other risk assets.

But this DOESN’T mean Bitcoin has to fall automatically.

What matters now is observing how price responds.

🔴 Weakness: losing US$77,000 and staying below it would increase the risk of a larger correction.

🟡 Resistance: holding this zone despite external deterioration would continue to show absorption capability.

🟢 Strength: reclaiming US$79,000 and then breaking above US$80,000–82,000 would improve the scenario again.

The thesis we’ve been following since #003 is still not resolved.

But external risk has just increased by another step.

🔴 Current Read: ALERT / WATCH

📌 Post #006
🔗 Follow-up to #003, #004 and #005

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto