GPS all night long was a string of bearish candles—no sign even of a rebound, not even a shadow of one. Price is pinned under the moving average, and the bearish momentum is still accelerating. With this kind of structure, who dares to say it’s going to reverse? I’ll argue with anyone. In the spot market, orders are being eaten one by one as the sell pressure keeps pushing the bid all the way down. On the futures side, the longs are still forcefully holding on—funding rates have already flipped negative. The basis has turned into a deeper and deeper discount; who are the people adding positions actually buying orders for? Some folks are clinging to the old script of “it’s down so it’ll bounce.” I just want to ask: when it bounces, where’s the volume? A rebound that no one is taking is just like walking downstairs. A slow bleed tunnel where you can’t see the end from here—if you reach in now, it’s all knifecatchers. You really think you’re a hero. This market only recognizes one direction.
