This week, G7 central banks are collectively facing pressure to raise rates. Lagarde directly said that the inflation shock will last longer, and expectations of tighter liquidity are back. After $BTC saw a two-week surge of 24%, it has stalled between 76,000 and 82,000. CryptoQuant says it must break above 81,700 to confirm a new bull market; if it breaks down, it could fall all the way to 62,000. But honestly, the real question isn’t about BTC—it’s about whether those altcoins will continue to drop or carve out an independent rally of their own. That’s the key to judging whether it’s a real bull market. Just when this is happening, the Middle East also flares up again: the Houthis directly fired missiles at a Saudi military base. Once oil prices and risk-avoidance sentiment kick in, no asset can expect to be safe. If this move really pulls BTC down to 70,000, would you buy the dip or head for the exit?