$BTC Now it’s really interesting. Stoch RSI directly hits 16, and the oversold area is basically lying there flat—normally it should rebound. But the MACD is still green—although the short momentum has eased a bit, the foundation is still weak.
The contradiction lies in these signals fighting each other. Oversold suggests a rebound is needed, but the bigger trend hasn’t changed. OBV, however, shows money quietly flowing in—this is a positive sign.
The key is the 77258-77406 range. If the rebound can’t get through there, it likely still has to come back down. Also keep a close eye on the 77712 level—if it truly breaks out, then the short logic we’re seeing now would be completely invalidated.
In a bearish-leaning structure, 76720-77258 is the rebound observation zone. If 76524 breaks, then it likely goes lower to search for a bottom.
For market chart observation and scenario planning only, not a record of trading actions.
$BTC #合约 #熊市 #Market analysis
The contradiction lies in these signals fighting each other. Oversold suggests a rebound is needed, but the bigger trend hasn’t changed. OBV, however, shows money quietly flowing in—this is a positive sign.
The key is the 77258-77406 range. If the rebound can’t get through there, it likely still has to come back down. Also keep a close eye on the 77712 level—if it truly breaks out, then the short logic we’re seeing now would be completely invalidated.
In a bearish-leaning structure, 76720-77258 is the rebound observation zone. If 76524 breaks, then it likely goes lower to search for a bottom.
For market chart observation and scenario planning only, not a record of trading actions.
$BTC #合约 #熊市 #Market analysis
