XAU GOLD GOLD Review of Yesterday’s View: Gold has been moving downward from the high of 4435, with the low touching 4325 and already breaking below the daily EMA52 support

Update the key defense level at 4260—this is the 5-day core lifeline. Once it is broken, the 10-day rebound scenario is effectively invalidated. Don’t be overly optimistic; focus on how the market forms a bottom

When the CPI data was released, gold played out a V-shaped turnaround—down first, then up. The lowest point dipped to 4292, but it did not break through the key defense level at 4260. Afterwards, it rebounded, rallying back up to 4403. After reaching the high, it fell again. The market is currently closed, and the halted price is 4349, without making a fresh lower low

Price has just pulled back to the 30-minute MACD zero-line support area. Theoretically, it should not continue to probe lower from here. If this level is broken again, the daily support will also be breached, which could trigger a deeper selloff

I’m more inclined to expect gold to hold this support, then rebound upward again on the 30-minute timeframe. Slowly build a strong 4-hour bottom structure, and only after the 4-hour MACD crosses above the zero line can the daily-level rebound be considered officially underway

In the short term, the bottom line: try not to see an effective break below 4330

Weekend market pause—sit tight and wait for Monday’s open, then observe whether gold follows the expected path
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