$牛来 counterfeit coins surge in volume—my first reaction is no longer excitement.
In the past, when I traded counterfeit coins, if the trading volume suddenly spiked—
my first reaction was excitement.
Because, in my understanding, a higher trading volume means capital has entered.
The market might be about to start.
But after being taught back and forth by a few “volume explosion” situations,
I realized that logic can’t be applied so simply.
A sudden jump in volume really does mean the market is getting hot.
But being lively doesn’t necessarily mean it’s easy to trade.
For a coin that nobody usually pays attention to, suddenly its trading volume can multiply by several times in a single day.
And the price also rises rapidly.
At this moment, the participants—
may be chasing the rally, or may have set up in advance and are waiting to cash out.
Both sides are very aggressive.
The candlestick chart looks especially beautiful.
But after you place orders, it often isn’t like that.
The most typical example is stop-loss hunting.
You see the breakout and chase in—
the price suddenly pulls back.
After your stop loss is triggered, it climbs back up again.
You think it was a fake breakout, so you flip and short.
Then the price surges upward again.
After a few back-and-forth moves, you’re left completely confused.
So now, when I judge a coin’s trading volume—
I don’t try to match it to a fixed number.
Instead, I first look at its normal levels over a period of time.
If it suddenly rises much higher than that—
I treat it as an “abnormal activity zone.”
I observe first; I don’t rush in just because the numbers look pretty.
Of course, if the volume is too low, I won’t touch it either.
The order book is thin, and the bid-ask spread is large.
With even a bit of volatility, slippage becomes easy.
And if you really run into a sudden plunge, you may not even be able to exit comfortably.
These days, I prefer a different kind of state:
Trading isn’t dull, and there isn’t sudden madness.
The price moves, but it hasn’t turned so chaotic that there’s no pattern.
This type of market may not be as thrilling.
But it’s relatively suitable for ordinary people to trade according to a plan.
The easiest thing about counterfeit coins to make people lose their heads—
is when a huge bullish candle suddenly appears.
Then the whole market starts discussing it.
But for me—
the more people are watching the same opportunity at the same time, the more willing I am to wait a little longer.
You don’t have to make money at the absolute hottest moment.
If you can understand it, execute it, and get out smoothly—
then this trade truly belongs to you #CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
In the past, when I traded counterfeit coins, if the trading volume suddenly spiked—
my first reaction was excitement.
Because, in my understanding, a higher trading volume means capital has entered.
The market might be about to start.
But after being taught back and forth by a few “volume explosion” situations,
I realized that logic can’t be applied so simply.
A sudden jump in volume really does mean the market is getting hot.
But being lively doesn’t necessarily mean it’s easy to trade.
For a coin that nobody usually pays attention to, suddenly its trading volume can multiply by several times in a single day.
And the price also rises rapidly.
At this moment, the participants—
may be chasing the rally, or may have set up in advance and are waiting to cash out.
Both sides are very aggressive.
The candlestick chart looks especially beautiful.
But after you place orders, it often isn’t like that.
The most typical example is stop-loss hunting.
You see the breakout and chase in—
the price suddenly pulls back.
After your stop loss is triggered, it climbs back up again.
You think it was a fake breakout, so you flip and short.
Then the price surges upward again.
After a few back-and-forth moves, you’re left completely confused.
So now, when I judge a coin’s trading volume—
I don’t try to match it to a fixed number.
Instead, I first look at its normal levels over a period of time.
If it suddenly rises much higher than that—
I treat it as an “abnormal activity zone.”
I observe first; I don’t rush in just because the numbers look pretty.
Of course, if the volume is too low, I won’t touch it either.
The order book is thin, and the bid-ask spread is large.
With even a bit of volatility, slippage becomes easy.
And if you really run into a sudden plunge, you may not even be able to exit comfortably.
These days, I prefer a different kind of state:
Trading isn’t dull, and there isn’t sudden madness.
The price moves, but it hasn’t turned so chaotic that there’s no pattern.
This type of market may not be as thrilling.
But it’s relatively suitable for ordinary people to trade according to a plan.
The easiest thing about counterfeit coins to make people lose their heads—
is when a huge bullish candle suddenly appears.
Then the whole market starts discussing it.
But for me—
the more people are watching the same opportunity at the same time, the more willing I am to wait a little longer.
You don’t have to make money at the absolute hottest moment.
If you can understand it, execute it, and get out smoothly—
then this trade truly belongs to you #CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
