🚨 The Fed could raise interest rates by 0.25%. BUT I don’t think this will scare the market. 👀
August’s CPI has reignited concerns about inflation in the U.S.
📈 CPI: 3.4% over 12 months
📈 Monthly CPI: +0.4%
📈 Core CPI: +0.3%
And the market has strongly increased the odds of a rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting.
Today, probabilities are close to 90% for a 0.25 percentage-point increase.
But here’s my take:
👉 **IF THE FED RAISES BY 0.25%, THAT IS ALREADY PRACTICALLY PRICED IN.**
In other words:
the market already knows there’s a strong possibility of a hike.
So for me, the most important question isn’t:
❌ “Will the Fed raise rates?”
It’s:
🔥 **“WHAT WILL THE FED SAY AFTER THE HIKE?”**
If the Fed signals that:
➡️ the hike is a one-off
➡️ inflation is being monitored
➡️ there’s no need for further hikes
the impact could be much smaller than many people expect.
But if Powell signals:
⚠️ further hikes
⚠️ persistent inflation
⚠️ higher rates for longer
then yes—we could see a strong reaction in the markets.
And that can directly affect:
₿ $BTC
♦️ $ETH
📈 S&P 500
💵 dollar
🏦 Treasuries
🔥 **My bet?**
A 0.25% hike is already well priced in.
The real risk is **in the speech and in the Fed’s next move.**
👀 And you?
🟢 The market has already priced in the hike
🟡 There could still be a strong correction
🔴 The Fed will surprise with an even tougher stance
**I want to know your opinion.**
#Fed #CPI #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #SP500 #Investments #Binance
August’s CPI has reignited concerns about inflation in the U.S.
📈 CPI: 3.4% over 12 months
📈 Monthly CPI: +0.4%
📈 Core CPI: +0.3%
And the market has strongly increased the odds of a rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting.
Today, probabilities are close to 90% for a 0.25 percentage-point increase.
But here’s my take:
👉 **IF THE FED RAISES BY 0.25%, THAT IS ALREADY PRACTICALLY PRICED IN.**
In other words:
the market already knows there’s a strong possibility of a hike.
So for me, the most important question isn’t:
❌ “Will the Fed raise rates?”
It’s:
🔥 **“WHAT WILL THE FED SAY AFTER THE HIKE?”**
If the Fed signals that:
➡️ the hike is a one-off
➡️ inflation is being monitored
➡️ there’s no need for further hikes
the impact could be much smaller than many people expect.
But if Powell signals:
⚠️ further hikes
⚠️ persistent inflation
⚠️ higher rates for longer
then yes—we could see a strong reaction in the markets.
And that can directly affect:
₿ $BTC
♦️ $ETH
📈 S&P 500
💵 dollar
🏦 Treasuries
🔥 **My bet?**
A 0.25% hike is already well priced in.
The real risk is **in the speech and in the Fed’s next move.**
👀 And you?
🟢 The market has already priced in the hike
🟡 There could still be a strong correction
🔴 The Fed will surprise with an even tougher stance
**I want to know your opinion.**
#Fed #CPI #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #SP500 #Investments #Binance