September 12
Handsome guy research report — mainstream coins
Yesterday, BTC saw significant volatility. The CPI data met expectations and remained at 3.4%. The short-term price increase was relatively large, but there was no clear positive catalyst. Personally, I think this is a real “blow-off / air-drop” setup (to bait longs), preparing for subsequent downside. After the CPI release, expectations for further rate hikes rose again to about 90%. The Greed & Fear Index is 68. Keep an eye on the 76,500 support level. If price breaks below it, lower support will weaken; you may consider following with a short (chasing the short). On the daily timeframe, continue waiting for consolidation. For September, the Fed’s rate hike remains a key focus. For long-term positioning, I still recommend waiting until macro information is confirmed before considering entries. For the short term, if you want to follow up, it’s still recommended to go short at higher levels. Spot positions should wait for a confirmed pullback to stabilize, and only consider entries again after sentiment becomes steady.
ETH follows BTC and consolidates in sync. On the 4-hour timeframe, there was a volume-backed rally, but no clear positive catalyst was observed. Follow the same approach as BTC. Recently, on-chain activity has cooled down, and ETH’s price action is likely to weaken as well. On the daily timeframe, there has been no clear improvement in momentum—stay on the sidelines.
Fundamental news: The market’s expectation for a Fed rate hike in September has already reached 90%+; key information—closely monitor it.
Intraday support & resistance for mainstream coins:
For today’s intraday outlook: BTC support is 75,500–76,500, resistance is 77,500–78,500. ETH support is 2,430–2,470, resistance is 2,530–2,570
Handsome guy research report — mainstream coins
Yesterday, BTC saw significant volatility. The CPI data met expectations and remained at 3.4%. The short-term price increase was relatively large, but there was no clear positive catalyst. Personally, I think this is a real “blow-off / air-drop” setup (to bait longs), preparing for subsequent downside. After the CPI release, expectations for further rate hikes rose again to about 90%. The Greed & Fear Index is 68. Keep an eye on the 76,500 support level. If price breaks below it, lower support will weaken; you may consider following with a short (chasing the short). On the daily timeframe, continue waiting for consolidation. For September, the Fed’s rate hike remains a key focus. For long-term positioning, I still recommend waiting until macro information is confirmed before considering entries. For the short term, if you want to follow up, it’s still recommended to go short at higher levels. Spot positions should wait for a confirmed pullback to stabilize, and only consider entries again after sentiment becomes steady.
ETH follows BTC and consolidates in sync. On the 4-hour timeframe, there was a volume-backed rally, but no clear positive catalyst was observed. Follow the same approach as BTC. Recently, on-chain activity has cooled down, and ETH’s price action is likely to weaken as well. On the daily timeframe, there has been no clear improvement in momentum—stay on the sidelines.
Fundamental news: The market’s expectation for a Fed rate hike in September has already reached 90%+; key information—closely monitor it.
Intraday support & resistance for mainstream coins:
For today’s intraday outlook: BTC support is 75,500–76,500, resistance is 77,500–78,500. ETH support is 2,430–2,470, resistance is 2,530–2,570