#CPIWatch ✨
Will today's CPI data trigger a Fed rate hike?
Today we get US CPI inflation data.
**Expectations:**
**Core CPI MoM: 0.3%** vs 0.2% last month
**YoY CPI: 2.4%** expected
I see 2 main scenarios:
**Scenario 1: HOT CPI > Expectations**
If the number comes in above forecast, the Fed will likely delay rate cuts.
This supports a stronger Dollar and puts pressure on Gold and Bitcoin.
Markets stay in "tight money" mode.
**Scenario 2: CPI in-line or COOLER**
If CPI meets or comes in below expectations, rate cut bets for September get stronger.
This could trigger a sharp rally in Crypto and Stocks.
**My Trading Take:**
If data is "HOT" → I'm looking to add to $BTC and $ETH on dips with liquidity.
If data is "COLD" → I'd rather stay in cash and $USDC until the picture clears.
**Bottom Line: CPI today is the main driver for markets.**
The big question: What's your inflation forecast? And how will you play it? 👇
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
Drop your CPI prediction below 👇
Will today's CPI data trigger a Fed rate hike?
Today we get US CPI inflation data.
**Expectations:**
**Core CPI MoM: 0.3%** vs 0.2% last month
**YoY CPI: 2.4%** expected
I see 2 main scenarios:
**Scenario 1: HOT CPI > Expectations**
If the number comes in above forecast, the Fed will likely delay rate cuts.
This supports a stronger Dollar and puts pressure on Gold and Bitcoin.
Markets stay in "tight money" mode.
**Scenario 2: CPI in-line or COOLER**
If CPI meets or comes in below expectations, rate cut bets for September get stronger.
This could trigger a sharp rally in Crypto and Stocks.
**My Trading Take:**
If data is "HOT" → I'm looking to add to $BTC and $ETH on dips with liquidity.
If data is "COLD" → I'd rather stay in cash and $USDC until the picture clears.
**Bottom Line: CPI today is the main driver for markets.**
The big question: What's your inflation forecast? And how will you play it? 👇
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
Drop your CPI prediction below 👇
