Tonight, the US CPI is being released. This is one of the most crucial inflation data points before next week’s Fed meeting. The market has already clearly priced in another rate hike in September, and tonight’s data is very likely to once again shift expectations.
Core CPI forecast: 0.2%
Below forecast — rate-hike pressure cools down 🔥
In line with forecast — the market starts to debate a Fed pause
Clearly above forecast — rate-hike expectations keep heating up ⚠️
🟢 0.1% → major positive → rate-hike expectations cool significantly → ETH/BTC may surge quickly
🟢 0.2% → in line with forecast → then look at core YoY and headline CPI → slightly neutral
🔴 0.3% → above forecast → probability of a rate hike rises → ETH/BTC faces pressure
🔴🔴 0.4%+ → very hot → one of the most dangerous scenarios tonight
Don’t just watch the first candlestick—$BTC and $ETH are the real tell of the direction. Watch how funds choose after the data comes out.
The downside risk is already on the table now—what matters is whether the market is afraid or not.
At 21:30, join the livestream to wait for the CPI!
Watch the BTC for the bigger picture, watch ETH for the next opportunity, and Musk’s little dog keeps building! 🐶🐶🐶🐶🔥
#CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息 #比特币金叉后回落至7.7万美元 #CLARITY法案修订拟规范非DeFi控制方 #腾讯投资燧原科技9.11亿美元IPO后上市 #甲骨文财报超预期股价涨逾6%