CPI drops in 3 hours. Market's coiled tight.
Expectations:
Headline 3.3-3.4% YoY
Core 2.4% YoY / 0.2% MoM
If Core prints under 0.2%:
Fed pivot narrative strengthens. Yields drop. DXY bleeds. $BTC rips.
If Core comes in at 0.3%+:
Hawkish Fed back on the table. Yields spike. Risk-off mode. $BTC gets clapped.
Levels that matter:
0.1% or lower = face-melting rally incoming
0.2% = chop, no conviction
0.3%+ = pain
This is the macro catalyst everyone's watching. Position accordingly or get wrecked.
Expectations:
Headline 3.3-3.4% YoY
Core 2.4% YoY / 0.2% MoM
If Core prints under 0.2%:
Fed pivot narrative strengthens. Yields drop. DXY bleeds. $BTC rips.
If Core comes in at 0.3%+:
Hawkish Fed back on the table. Yields spike. Risk-off mode. $BTC gets clapped.
Levels that matter:
0.1% or lower = face-melting rally incoming
0.2% = chop, no conviction
0.3%+ = pain
This is the macro catalyst everyone's watching. Position accordingly or get wrecked.
