The most memorable judgment here is this: don’t misinterpret “invest every day” as mechanically chasing prices without regard to the rhythm. Before macroeconomic data is released, short-term fluctuations may first rinse emotions and leverage back and forth. The truly prudent approach is to keep the long-term plan, and add one more confirmation step to the execution for that day.

@Superman_Won’t_Fly_2020 2020 indicates that she was still planning to continue investing 100 U per day that day, but she would wait until the CPI data came out, then observe for more than ten minutes up to half an hour. After the first round of impact stabilizes somewhat, she would decide the timing for that day’s purchase. The focus of this plan is not to guess the direction of the data, but to avoid making the first move when the news has just landed and the bid-ask spread and emotions are at their most chaotic.

Her mid-term assessment of Bitcoin is even stronger than before. In the past, she had regarded $50,000 as a possible target for a deep pullback. After several rounds of adjustments, she believes the probability of returning to $50,000 this time has clearly dropped. If it can get back to around $70,000, she would consider taking positions in batches. However, she also emphasized that $70,000 is not an extremely undervalued zone; the value-for-money is already worse than that of a deeper pullback. Therefore, she can only scale in gradually, not put all the positions on at once.

On the upside potential, she said that if this bull cycle can reach $180,000 to $200,000, then the multiple from the $70,000 area for Bitcoin would not be as exaggerated as it was in earlier cycles. This is exactly why she separates “making deterministic moves with large capital” from “seeking options-like elasticity with small capital.” The larger the fund size, the more it needs to accept a lower return multiple in exchange for stronger consensus, deeper liquidity, and a relatively lower risk of ending at zero.

She refers to Bitcoin as the “keystone” in the secondary market. Even if the overall situation is still venture-like, Bitcoin’s consensus and ability to absorb orders are clearly stronger than those of the small on-chain coins that have just appeared. A portfolio can have offensive positions, but the core cannot be only stories and hype. Without a core holding, continuously chasing new narratives makes it easy to miss the main trend while repeatedly bleeding out through small-coins’ slippage, taxes, and liquidity issues.

On-chain opportunities are not completely off the table, but the position logic must be reversed. Superman doesn’t fly 2020 believes that small coins are more like lottery tickets: before participating, you need to examine the narrative, market sentiment, liquidity, and whether influential funds continue to support it. You can’t simply copy the K-line logic of mature assets. She also reminds that on-chain trading may simultaneously involve purchase tax, sell tax, and slippage. Chasing after the initial spike can easily have the apparent gains on paper wiped out by the real execution costs.

She shared her own approach: separate the high-risk positions she believes in from the daily trial-and-error trades. For the former, if the underlying logic is still intact, she can keep it under observation. For the latter, she only uses small amounts of capital that she can afford to lose to zero. After making a segment of profit, she withdraws the principal or takes profit in time. She openly admits that the intrinsic value of these assets is difficult to verify and relies mainly on marketing, community, and capital propulsion. So even if someone personally holds them, it doesn’t mean they can guarantee returns to others.

In terms of trading style, she prefers spot rather than high-leverage perpetual/futures contracts. If a spot judgment is wrong, there is still time to reassess. But once a contract is liquidated, even if the price later returns to the original level, the position won’t come back. The Monero short experience she repeatedly mentioned in livestreams, together with the $ZEC action, reinforced the same risk boundary: don’t touch the top halfway up just because a coin has already surged a lot. In extreme conditions, using 1x leverage with an overconcentrated position can also lead to irreversible losses.

But “trading spot” doesn’t mean never stopping. She stressed that if an asset’s thesis fails, liquidity deteriorates, or structural risks emerge that are close to leading to it going to zero, then you should still exit when it’s time to exit. Treating “time can be extended indefinitely” as a reason to refuse correction only turns temporary being trapped into permanent loss. What you can endure is volatility—what you cannot endure is an asset losing its basic conditions to survive.

Overall, the execution order is very clear: after the CPI is released, first wait more than ten minutes to half an hour so the initial wave of volatility can play out. The daily $100 installment plan continues, but you shouldn’t rush into it at the most chaotic moment of news. Around $70,000, only consider scaling in batches and don’t treat it as an absolute bottom. The portfolio is Bitcoin-centered, with on-chain small coins used only as lottery positions. Any high-risk trades must be accepted in advance that they could potentially go to zero.

The real dividing line isn’t whether you can catch a ten-bag small coin today. It’s whether your portfolio has a piece that can let you get through volatility—a keystone. Will you bet most of your capital on on-chain hot spots to chase higher elasticity, or would you rather let Bitcoin take the main position and then use small amounts of capital to look for offensive opportunities?

The above is a summary of viewpoints from the livestream and does not constitute investment advice. Market volatility is high—control your position size, set stop-losses, and take responsibility for your own gains and losses.