As soon as last night’s PPI data came out, BTC and ETH directly dropped into this week’s biggest deep dip, with a fairly thorough shakeout. Today, focus on CPI. If the downside risk is realized, it could actually be a decent low-buy (go long) opportunity.

BTC: bearish in the short term; keep selling on rallies

Bitcoin daily candle is a bearish engulfing, the bears are strengthening; MACD has a death cross pointing down and there’s still a need for a pullback. Don’t rush to go long in the short term—on rallies, you can continue to short.

Sell the rebound at 78500, add at 79500; stop-loss at 80000; target around 75000. For long positions: hold a main long from 76350-75928, add at 75355; defense at 75000 (reduce position for defense); take-profit to be decided.

ETH: 15-minute bullish divergence at the bottom, “spring” compressed to the extreme

Ethereum shows a bullish divergence on the 15-minute timeframe. After a sharp drop of 2403, it reversed V-shaped to 2464. MACD cross with a volume expansion, and the Bollinger Bands broke above the midline. This is essentially the rebound after the “spring” is compressed to the extreme—if it doesn’t break the previous low, it’s an excellent spot for a high-probability bet.

Resistance above: 2460-2482-2504. Support below: 2404-2380-2366. Take long on 2380 with the initial position. The 12-hour and 5-day line supports are at 2366 and 2336 respectively, so add at 2366 and 2336. Take-profit is to be determined.

ZEC: daily reversal—dead-cat bounce, then short boldly

Daily candle: a bearish engulfing pattern, reversal setup, and the start of a pullback. Now you can take a bold short on a dead-cat bounce. There’s a chance to dead-cat bounce to 1140 and continue shorting. Keep holding the high-level short position a bit longer.

Bull’s here: a counter-trend rebound, not a full market turning bullish

This time is: after the spot listing, the shakeout is done + contract short positions are crowded + the Chinese Meme narrative hasn’t died yet. All that stacks together for a counter-trend rebound—this is not the whole market turning bullish. You can watch it and trade a short-term gamble with a light position, but it’s not suitable to chase with heavy exposure right now.

Seed tag, 1% tax—already completed the thousand-fold run from a $10M market cap. Now participation is volatility trading, not belief. If it can’t hold 0.12, run. Size your position according to going back to zero exposure.

PONS: pseudo-demon coin. Wait for the pullback, then enter.

A pseudo-demon coin driven by a platform-economy model, supported by real revenue and a deflationary flywheel—has the core conditions to become a monster coin. But in the short term, it needs to digest the recent rally. Current price 0.566 has already retraced 41.5% from ATH 0.9683.

Wait for the pullback to 0.50-0.52 to confirm support, then enter with a small position. Stop loss at 0.45. First target 0.68-0.70, second target 0.80-0.90.

Summary: after the PPI clears, the CPI sets the direction. BTC is slightly bearish for the short term. ETH looks for a rebound. ZEC: dead-cat bounce, then short boldly. When the bull momentum comes, play with PONS with a light position. Don’t go heavy, don’t lose your head—set your stop loss.