Just took a glance at the $BTC whale data and my spine went cold. A lot of people ask: can 76800 still be chased? I just threw the data right in front of them.
👉 Official long/short ratio: 209%. For every 1 short, there are 2 longs. The ship is heavily tilted toward longs—crowding is extremely high.
👉 Longs are broadly trapped: 653 long whale positions, with an average entry price as high as 78961. They’re currently down nearly 58 million U that hasn’t been realized yet. This suggests the sell-side trapped positions above are heavy—main forces are losing money. If you jump in, you’re basically handing out head-on targets.
👉 Shorts are extremely accurate: the average cost of short whale positions is 76572, almost right around the current price. And their profit ratio is as high as 72%, meaning shorts completely control the situation.
This is the typical “long trap” period.
How to respond:
❌ Don’t chase longs: your cost is far higher than the whale average price. The supply overhead from 78000 to 79000 is all waiting to be unpinned and dumped.
✅ Key levels:
* Resistance (escape/short): 77200–77500 (Bollinger middle band and the high point of the short-term rebound). If you can’t break through, leave without hesitation or try a quick short.
* Support (buy longs): 76460–76500 (previous low and the lower Bollinger band). If it breaks below here, downside opens up—don’t catch falling knives.
* Stop loss: stay firm above 77800.
Off my chest:
When there are too many people, it means they’re crowded. When all the whales are trapped on long positions, retail traders shouldn’t think they can stay unaffected. It’s better to stay out of the market and wait for a pullback to stabilize, rather than provide liquidity for the main players’ distribution.
In crypto, don’t stumble into darkness. If you want to avoid traps and keep steady profits, follow the pace.
👉 Official long/short ratio: 209%. For every 1 short, there are 2 longs. The ship is heavily tilted toward longs—crowding is extremely high.
👉 Longs are broadly trapped: 653 long whale positions, with an average entry price as high as 78961. They’re currently down nearly 58 million U that hasn’t been realized yet. This suggests the sell-side trapped positions above are heavy—main forces are losing money. If you jump in, you’re basically handing out head-on targets.
👉 Shorts are extremely accurate: the average cost of short whale positions is 76572, almost right around the current price. And their profit ratio is as high as 72%, meaning shorts completely control the situation.
This is the typical “long trap” period.
How to respond:
❌ Don’t chase longs: your cost is far higher than the whale average price. The supply overhead from 78000 to 79000 is all waiting to be unpinned and dumped.
✅ Key levels:
* Resistance (escape/short): 77200–77500 (Bollinger middle band and the high point of the short-term rebound). If you can’t break through, leave without hesitation or try a quick short.
* Support (buy longs): 76460–76500 (previous low and the lower Bollinger band). If it breaks below here, downside opens up—don’t catch falling knives.
* Stop loss: stay firm above 77800.
Off my chest:
When there are too many people, it means they’re crowded. When all the whales are trapped on long positions, retail traders shouldn’t think they can stay unaffected. It’s better to stay out of the market and wait for a pullback to stabilize, rather than provide liquidity for the main players’ distribution.
In crypto, don’t stumble into darkness. If you want to avoid traps and keep steady profits, follow the pace.
