$Habqimi In this 15m wave, it dropped 2.33%. The volume has surged to 4.65x; active trading imbalance is -15.5%, buy/sell ratio is 0.73—selling pressure is being pushed along.
What’s even more worth watching is OI: the 15m contract is -1.62%, notional -286K, but over the 1h window it’s still +0.23%, notional +485K. On the short cycle, deleveraging is underway, yet on the 1-hour dimension positions are still accumulating. The OI anomaly percentile is 94.6%, the entire pool #5. In this kind of spot, if a long-side unwind gets triggered and the stop-loss chain follows through, the probability of a downward “needle” poking lower isn’t low.
Over the past 24h, traded value is 17.38M—liquidity is sufficient—but the active direction is clearly bearish. It’s approaching the historical extreme range. Don’t rush in; wait for the OI to stabilize first.
What’s even more worth watching is OI: the 15m contract is -1.62%, notional -286K, but over the 1h window it’s still +0.23%, notional +485K. On the short cycle, deleveraging is underway, yet on the 1-hour dimension positions are still accumulating. The OI anomaly percentile is 94.6%, the entire pool #5. In this kind of spot, if a long-side unwind gets triggered and the stop-loss chain follows through, the probability of a downward “needle” poking lower isn’t low.
Over the past 24h, traded value is 17.38M—liquidity is sufficient—but the active direction is clearly bearish. It’s approaching the historical extreme range. Don’t rush in; wait for the OI to stabilize first.